- The AUD/USD currency pair starts the week positively, trading at 0.6716 at the press time, up by 2.11% on the day.
- Technical indicators, such as the daily 20-SMA and 50-SMA, suggest a potential bullish outlook for AUD/USD.
- SVB banking catastrophe’s ripple effects and the consequences of the Fed’s rate hike decision support the pair.
Daily price movements:
AUD/USD currency pair opens the first day of a new week at 0.6575, with an intraday high of 0.6718 and a low of 0.6577. The pair trades at 0.6716 at the press time, up by 2.11% on the day, just below Monday’s ATH price.
The recent issues with Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have highlighted the vulnerable state of US banks, which has dampened expectations for additional interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, Goldman Sachs now predicts a delay in rate hikes in March, and the Fed Fund futures (*) have reduced the likelihood of a 0.50% increase in the Fed rate.
Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen to its lowest level in a month, trading near 103.60 at the press time.
* Fed Fund futures directly reflect collective marketplace insight regarding the future course of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. (Source: CME Group’s website)
Key economic events:
Investors will be closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (excluding Food and Energy) data for February, set to be released on Tuesday, to gain a better understanding of potential Federal Reserve (Fed) actions on the pace of interest rate increases, which could impact the strength of the US Dollar.
Additionally, both the Employment Change s.a. (Feb) and Unemployment Rate s.a. (Feb) released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday will be the key economic events for AUD this week.
Technical view:
Technical indicators suggest a potential bullish outlook for the AUD/USD in the short term. The 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA are at 0.6777 and 0.6885, respectively, indicating a possible bullish trend. The daily 38.2% Fibonacci level is at 0.6593, with the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.6611. The RSI(14) is at 44.516, indicating potential bullish momentum. Resistance levels for AUD/USD are at 0.6623, 0.6670, and 0.6699, while support levels stand at 0.6547, 0.6517, and 0.6471. The daily pivot point is at 0.6594.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD rises above 1.0850 while remaining in overbought territory
The EUR/USD pair gains ground for the third successive session, trading around 1.0860 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. A technical examination of the daily chart indicates a bearish breakout as the pair breaks below an ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD maintains position near 1.2900 as concerns over US economic growth persist
The GBP/USD pair recovers recent losses from the previous session, trading around 1.2890 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles amid concerns that tariff policy uncertainty could push the US economy into recession.

Gold price sticks to modest intraday gains amid weaker risk tone; remains below $2,900
Gold price rebounds from a one-week low and draws support from a combination of factors. Global trade war fears and geopolitical risks continue to underpin the safe-haven commodity. Fed rate cut bets keep the USD depressed and further benefit the non-yielding XAU/USD pair.

The crypto market cap dips to $2.44 trillion while Mt. Gox moves 11,833 BTC worth $932 million
The crypto market continued its ongoing downleg as the week started, as its market cap capitalization reached a low of $2.44 trillion on Tuesday, levels not seen since early November.

Gold price sticks to modest intraday gains amid weaker risk tone; remains below $2,900
Gold price rebounds from a one-week low and draws support from a combination of factors. Global trade war fears and geopolitical risks continue to underpin the safe-haven commodity. Fed rate cut bets keep the USD depressed and further benefit the non-yielding XAU/USD pair.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.