AUD/USD slumps to 0.6430 as US Dollar rebounds, US Gov shutdown on the cards


  • The AUD/USD has walked back all of the day's gains in Friday trading as the DXY sees resurgence.
  • Friday sees the Aussie down over 1% against the Greenback.
  • A looming US government shutdown is seeing markets balk as investors clam up and jump back into the USD.

The AUD/USD has slipped over 65 pips on Friday to slide back into the 0.6430 neighborhood as the US Dollar Index (DXY) catches a broad-market lift in investor fears of an impending US government shutdown.

The American government is poised to head straight into a partisan lockdown, which could see next week's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) thrown into question; if the US government agency responsible for assembling and disseminating the NFP figures is furloughed, investors will be missing the regularly-scheduled labor figures.

Australian data failed to spark firm faith in the Aussie this week, after Australian Retail Sales failed to meet market expectations on Thursday. Aussie Retail Sales printed at a disappointing 0.2%, flubbing the previous read of 0.5% and coming in below the forecast 0.3%.

Read More:

AUD/USD clings to the range bound theme – UOB

A re-test of 2022 lows seems inevitable – SocGen

Forex Today: Another positive week for the Dollar

AUD traders will now be looking ahead to next week's Aussie data docket, with Securities Inflation on Monday and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next rate meeting on Tuesday.

The RBA is broadly forecast to hold rates steady at 4.1% as economic growth languishes for the Antipodean economy, and investors will be looking for any hints in the RBA's following rate statement report. The RBA is slated to appear at 03:300 GMT on Tuesday.

AUD/USD technical outlook

Friday's backslide sees the AUD/USD all set for a technical rejection from the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily candles, and the pair remains trapped in familiar consolidation.

The AUD remains a weakly-bid currency, and swing lows have been chewing out progressively lower floors near 0.6325.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) remains high above current price action near 0.6700, and buyers will first need to contend with pushing the AUD/USD back over the 100-day SMA near 0.6575.

AUD/USD daily chart

AUD/USD technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6432
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.08
Today daily open 0.6427
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6419
Daily SMA50 0.6492
Daily SMA100 0.6591
Daily SMA200 0.6691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6432
Previous Daily Low 0.6345
Previous Weekly High 0.6511
Previous Weekly Low 0.6385
Previous Monthly High 0.6724
Previous Monthly Low 0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6399
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6378
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.637
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6314
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6283
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6458
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6489
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6546

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades sideways below 1.0450 amid quiet markets

EUR/USD trades sideways below 1.0450 amid quiet markets

EUR/USD defends gains below 1.0450 in European trading on Monday. Thin trading heading into the Xmas holiday and a modest US Dollar rebound leaves the pair in a familair range. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde's comments fail to impress the Euro. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.2600 after UK Q3 GDP revision

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.2600 after UK Q3 GDP revision

GBP/USD trades on the defensive below 1.2600 in the European session on Monday. The pair holds lower ground following the downward revision to the third-quarter UK GDP data, which weighs negatively on the Pound Sterling amid a broad US Dollar uptick. 

GBP/USD News
Gold price sticks to modest gains; upside seems limited amid USD dip-buying

Gold price sticks to modest gains; upside seems limited amid USD dip-buying

Gold price attracts some follow-through buying at the start of a new week and looks to build on its recovery from a one-month low touched last Thursday. Geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, along with trade war fears, turn out to be key factors benefiting the safe-haven precious metal. 

Gold News
Bitcoin fails to recover as Metaplanet buys the dip

Bitcoin fails to recover as Metaplanet buys the dip

Bitcoin hovers around $95,000 on Monday after losing the progress made during Friday’s relief rally. The largest cryptocurrency hit a new all-time high at $108,353 on Tuesday but this was followed by a steep correction after the US Fed signaled fewer interest-rate cuts than previously anticipated for 2025. 

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures