|

AUD/USD retreats to 0.6600 on hot US Inflation data

  • AUD/USD falls sharply to 0.6600 as US Dollar rises after stubborn US inflation data.
  • The hot US inflation report has dented market expectations for Fed rate cuts in the June meeting.
  • RBA Hunter warned about the deepening cost-of-living crisis.

The AUD/USD pair falls to the round-level support of 0.6600 as the hotter-than-expectations United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February has dented appeal for antipodeans. The Aussie asset weakens as stubborn US inflation data has improved the appeal for the US Dollar.

The appeal for risk-perceived currencies has dampened as investors rush for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) delivers a V-shape recovery to 103.30 as expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates in the June meeting could wane. 10-year US Treasury yields have climbed to near 4.15%.

The hot inflation data is expected to increase uncertainty over Fed rate cuts. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his Congressional testimony that it would be inappropriate to start lowering interest rates before gaining conviction that inflation will sustainably return to the 2% target. Powell also said that the central bank is not far from gaining that conviction, but the inflation data for February tells a different story.

Going forward, market participants will shift focus to the US Producer Price Index, (PPI) and monthly Retail Sales data for February, which will be published on Thursday.

On the Australian front, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter said, “For some households, interest rate hikes are also challenging and difficult, but inflation is the single biggest drag,” at the Australian Financial Review business summit in Sydney in Tuesday’s Asian session, reported by Bloomberg.

Next week, the RBA will announce the monetary policy decision in which policymakers are expected to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 4.35%.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6599
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open0.6614
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.654
Daily SMA500.6579
Daily SMA1000.6575
Daily SMA2000.6563
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6628
Previous Daily Low0.6597
Previous Weekly High0.6667
Previous Weekly Low0.6478
Previous Monthly High0.661
Previous Monthly Low0.6443
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6609
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6616
Daily Pivot Point S10.6598
Daily Pivot Point S20.6582
Daily Pivot Point S30.6567
Daily Pivot Point R10.6629
Daily Pivot Point R20.6644
Daily Pivot Point R30.6661

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak above 1.1750 ahead of German/ EU PMI data

EUR/USD remains on the back foot above 1.1850 in the European session on Friday, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day. Unabated US Dollar demand and nervousness ahead of the German and Eurozone business PMI data keep the pair undermined. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3450 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is recovering ground above 1.3450 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after a bigger-than-expected increase in the UK Retail Sales for January. However, the further upside appears limited in the pair amid persistent US Dollar strength and ahead of key UK and US data. 

Gold rises for third day on geopolitical risks, US data eyed

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. The upside potential, however, seems limited amid the mixed fundamental backdrop. Moreover, traders might opt to wait for the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – before placing fresh directional bets.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary. 

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.