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AUD/USD retreats amidst market uncertainty, US debt ceiling disputes ahead of Aussie CPI

  • The AUD/USD ends with substantial losses, nearing YTD lows, weighed by disputes amongst Republicans.
  • Political discussions surrounding the US debt ceiling and potential leadership change add a sour note to market sentiment.
  • Investors are eyeing upcoming inflation data, Private Sector, and Housing Credit from Australia and the Chicago PMI and JOLTs report from the US for further market direction.

AUD/USD is set to finish Tuesday’s session with substantial losses, snapping two days of gains spurred by mixed market sentiment. Factors like Republicans opposing the US debt-ceiling agreement, alongside falling US Treasury bond yields, cushioned the AUD/USD’s fall. However, the AUD/USD is still hovering around the year-to-date (YTD) lows of 0.6510s.

AUD/USD heads towards 0.6510, despite higher-than-expected US Housing Prices despite

US equities finished the session mixed, as debt-ceiling discussions continued amongst Republicans looking to oust Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker. That, alongside falling US bond yields, turned market sentiment sour, weighing on Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields.

Talking about data, the US economic agenda revealed housing prices that advanced more than estimates but were ignored by market participants. Later, the US Conference Board (CB) showed that Consumer Confidence in May slowed to 102.3, above calculations but below April’s 103.7. “Consumer confidence declined in May as consumers’ view of current conditions became somewhat less upbeat while their expectations remained gloomy,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director, Economics at The Conference Board.

In the meantime, the Dallas Fed reported that manufacturing activity in their area plunged to -29.1, beneath the prior’s month -23.4 drop, suggesting an ongoing deterioration in the Dallas Fed regional area.

On Wednesday, the Australian economic docket will feature inflation data, Private Sector, and Housing Credit, which could shed some light on the status of households. The Chicago PMI and the JOLTs report will update the economy’s position in the US.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6516
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open0.6538
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6655
Daily SMA500.6673
Daily SMA1000.677
Daily SMA2000.6703
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6554
Previous Daily Low0.6514
Previous Weekly High0.6668
Previous Weekly Low0.649
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6539
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.653
Daily Pivot Point S10.6517
Daily Pivot Point S20.6496
Daily Pivot Point S30.6477
Daily Pivot Point R10.6557
Daily Pivot Point R20.6575
Daily Pivot Point R30.6596

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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