|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Gaps open and falls towards floor of range

  • AUD/USD gaps open on Monday and declines. 
  • The pair is in a sideways range and will probably continue oscillating. 
  • Gaps have a habit of getting filled, suggesting an up leg will eventually develop within the range. 

AUD/USD is falling within a range encompassed by the green (ceiling) and red (floor) dashed lines on the chart below. 

AUD/USD 4-hour Chart 

At the start of trading on Monday the pair opened a gap between between 0.6515 and 0.6524 (green rectangle). It has been selling off ever since. 

AUD/USD will probably eventually fill the gap since technical analysis theory says that “the market abhors a gap”. This means gaps do not tend to remain open. When they occur within a sideways market they usually close more quickly.

It is possible the Aussie pair might fall to the region of the range lows in the 0.6440s first before recovering and filling the open gap. 

Alternatively it may stop falling before it reaches the bottom of the range and recover. At the moment there are no signs of the selling letting up. 

The (blue) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has crossed below its red signal line, which is a sell signal and reinforces the case for price falling towards the range lows.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).