AUD/USD Price Analysis: Trades inside Friday’s range ahead of RBA monetary policy

AUD/USD trades inside Friday’s range as investors sidelined ahead of the RBA policy.
The US Dollar remains sideways as the US markets will remain closed on account of Labor Day.
Price action from the AUD/USD pair in a four-hour time frame suggests a Bearish Flag formation.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The AUD/USD pair auctioned inside Friday’s trading range of 0.6438-0.6522 on Monday as investors await the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for its September monetary policy, which will be announced on Tuesday.

According to a Reuters poll, RBA Governor Philip Lowe will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.10% but will keep doors open for more hikes.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) turns sideways after a rally to near 104.20 inspired by steady hiring momentum recorded for August. The United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that 187K new employees were recruited in August, which was higher than expectations of 170K and July's reading of 157K. The Unemployment Rate rose sharply to 3.8% against the consensus and the prior release of 3.5%.

Price action from the AUD/USD pair in a four-hour time frame suggests a Bearish Flag chart pattern formation, which indicates a consolidation in which inventory is transferred from the institutional investors to the retail participants after a vertical sell-off move. A declining 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicates that the long-term trend is bearish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) trades in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates that investors await a fresh trigger.

A fresh downside would appear if the Aussie asset dropped below August 17 low around 0.6360. This would expose the asset to the round-level support of 0.6300 followed by 03 November 2022 low at 0.6272.

On the contrary, a recovery move above August 15 high around 0.6522 will drive the asset to August 9 high at 0.6571. Breach of the latter will drive the asset towards August 10 high at 0.6616.

AUD/USD two-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6462
Today Daily Change	0.0009
Today Daily Change %	0.14
Today daily open	0.6453

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6465
Daily SMA50	0.6606
Daily SMA100	0.6643
Daily SMA200	0.6721

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6522
Previous Daily Low	0.6438
Previous Weekly High	0.6522
Previous Weekly Low	0.6401
Previous Monthly High	0.6724
Previous Monthly Low	0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.647
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.649
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.642
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6388
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6337
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6504
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6555
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6587

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.