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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from daily tops around 0.7390s towards 0.7330s

  • After the US CPI report, the AUD/USD seesawed around the 0.7320-0.7392 range during the day.
  • US CPI increased the most since 1990, topping 6.2%.
  • AUD/USD Technical outlook: DMA’s above the spot price and the RSI indicate a downward bias in the near term.

The Australian dollar slides during the New York session, down 0.64%, trading at 0.7334 at the time of writing. Earlier in the Asian Pacific session, the pair edged slightly lower, around the 0.7350 area, in choppy trading conditions, sideways. When  US inflation figures crossed the wires, the AUD/USD fluctuated around the 0.7339-92 range.

US CPI increased the most since 1990, topping 6.2%

The Labour Department reported on Wednesday that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October increased by 6.2%, on annual base numbers, higher than the 5.3% foreseen by analysts. Additionally, unveiled that the Core CPI that excludes energy and food volatile items increased by 4.6% for the same period, more than the 4.3% estimated by economists. 

According to the report, prices in energy, shelter, food, and vehicles triggered the spike in the CPI. Also, inflation is broadening beyond areas associated with a reopening.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Daily chart

At press time, after the flurry of US CPI, the AUD/USD settled around the 0.7330 area. The daily moving averages (DMA’s) reside above the spot price, confirming in the near-term a downward bias, acting as resistance levels.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 39, below the 50-central line and with enough room before reaching oversold levels, adds another signal to the bearish bias. 
To accelerate the downtrend, AUD/USD sellers will need a break below the September 24 high at 0.7316. In that outcome, the pair could travel south towards the October 6 low at 0.7225.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7334
Today Daily Change-0.0047
Today Daily Change %-0.64
Today daily open0.7381
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7456
Daily SMA500.737
Daily SMA1000.7378
Daily SMA2000.755
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7432
Previous Daily Low0.736
Previous Weekly High0.7537
Previous Weekly Low0.736
Previous Monthly High0.7557
Previous Monthly Low0.7191
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7388
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7405
Daily Pivot Point S10.735
Daily Pivot Point S20.732
Daily Pivot Point S30.7279
Daily Pivot Point R10.7422
Daily Pivot Point R20.7463
Daily Pivot Point R30.7493

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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