|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Resumes upside journey as USD Index drops further ahead of US Inflation

  • AUD/USD pair has resumed its upside journey amid a correction in the US Dollar Index.
  • The USD Index has refreshed its day’s low at 101.54 as a delay in US debt ceiling issues is impacting US long-term outlook.
  • AUD/USD is oscillating in an accumulation phase in which inventory is shifted from retail participants to institutional investors.

The AUD/USD pair has resumed its upside journey after a corrective move to near 0.6750 in the Tokyo session. A solid recovery in the Aussie asset is being supported by a further correction in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has refreshed its day’s low at 101.54 as a delay in US debt ceiling issues is impacting the long-term outlook of the United States economy.

Meanwhile, headlines that US Trade Chief Tai will meet Chinese commerce minister Wang Wentao in Detroit later in May is expected to keep the Australian Dollar active. Positive developments in the meeting would bring prosperity to their trade relations. It is worth noting that Australia is the leading trading partner of China and healthy trade relations in Sino-US will also improve opportunities for Australia.

AUD/USD is oscillating broadly in Wyckoff’s Accumulation phase in which inventory is shifted from retail participants to institutional investors. A breakout of the same results in wider bullish ticks and heavy volume.

The 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6721 is providing support to the Australian Dollar bulls.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is making efforts for climbing into the 60.00-80.00 range as it would trigger the upside momentum.

An acceptance above the round-level resistance at 0.6800 confidently, Australian Dollar bulls will firmly drive the asset higher toward February 06 low at 0.6855 followed by February 21 high at 0.6920.

In an alternate scenario, US Dollar bulls will flex their muscles if the Aussie asset will drop below March 15 low at 0.6590. An occurrence of the same will expose the asset to March 08 low at 0.6568 followed by 02 November 2022 high around 0.6500.

AUD/USD daily chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6768
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open0.6762
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6693
Daily SMA500.6685
Daily SMA1000.679
Daily SMA2000.6727
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6787
Previous Daily Low0.6746
Previous Weekly High0.6757
Previous Weekly Low0.6607
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6771
Daily Pivot Point S10.6743
Daily Pivot Point S20.6725
Daily Pivot Point S30.6703
Daily Pivot Point R10.6784
Daily Pivot Point R20.6805
Daily Pivot Point R30.6824

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold pulls away from session high, holds above $4,300

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.