|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Portrays pre-NFP consolidation above 0.6650

  • AUD/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, snaps three-day losing streak.
  • Clear break of one-month-old ascending trend channel, bearish moving average crossover keeps sellers hopeful.
  • US NFP may bolster recession woes and weigh on prices on matching downbeat forecasts.

AUD/USD pares weekly losses around 0.6680 as traders prepare for the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) during Good Friday’s holiday-driven sluggish session. In doing so, the Aussie pair prints the first daily gains in four amid upbeat headlines from Australia’s major customer China.

Also read: China’s SAFE: Will fend off external financial market shocks and risks

However, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) dovish play joins the recession woes and exerts downside pressure on the AUD/USD prices.

Also read: AUD/USD justifies risk-barometer status around 0.6670 as recession woes loom, US NFP eyed

Technically, the Aussie pair’s rejection of a one-month-old bullish channel and a bearish moving average crossover, signaled by the 50-DMA’s piercing of the 100-DMA from above, keep the AUD/USD sellers hopeful. Adding strength to the downside bias is the steady RSI (14) line.

That said, the quote’s latest rebound remains elusive unless it stays below the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to 0.6690 by the press time.

Apart from the 0.6690 immediate hurdle, the 0.6700 round figure can also test the pair buyers before giving them control.

Even so, the 50-DMA, the 100-DMA and the top line of the stated channel, around 0.6785, 0.6800 and 0.6820 in that order, can challenge the AUD/USD buyers afterward.

Alternatively, an upward-sloping support line from the last November, close to 0.6620 by the press time, puts a floor under the AUD/USD prices.

Following that, the previous monthly low of 0.6564, also the Year-To-Date (YTD) bottom, will gain the market’s attention.

AUD/USD: Daily chart           

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.668
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.12%
Today daily open0.6672
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6684
Daily SMA500.6792
Daily SMA1000.68
Daily SMA2000.6748
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6725
Previous Daily Low0.6653
Previous Weekly High0.6738
Previous Weekly Low0.6634
Previous Monthly High0.6784
Previous Monthly Low0.6564
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6681
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6698
Daily Pivot Point S10.6642
Daily Pivot Point S20.6611
Daily Pivot Point S30.6569
Daily Pivot Point R10.6714
Daily Pivot Point R20.6756
Daily Pivot Point R30.6786

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold rallies above $5,150 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $5,150 in the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, which boost safe-haven flows. US-Iran geopolitical risks also linger, supporting the Gold price upside. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.