AUD/USD Price Analysis: Extends post-RBA fall towards poking 13-day-old support near 0.6400


  • AUD/USD takes offers to refresh weekly low, prods short-term key support line.
  • Unimpressive RBA verdict, US Dollar’s rebound favor Aussie pair sellers.
  • Clear downside break of 10-DMA, U-turn from important resistance zone add strength to bearish bias.

11-month-old rising support line, below-50.0 RSI will test sellers during further dominance.

AUD/USD stands on slippery grounds as it refreshes the weekly low around 0.6395 during early Tuesday in Europe. In doing so, the Aussie pair justifies the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) inaction, as well as a cautious view about the economic growth and inflation conditions.

Technically, the risk barometer pair extends the early-day break of the 10-DMA as sellers attack a two-week-long rising support line.

It’s worth noting that the quote’s inability to cross the levels marked in late May and early June, around 0.6500 joins the looming bear cross on the MACD to also keep the AUD/USD sellers hopeful of breaking the immediate support line surrounding 0.6400.

However, the below-50.0 levels of the RSI (14) line suggest bottom-picking of the Aussie pair and hence highlights an upward-sloping support line from October 2022, close to 0.6370 at the latest, as an important support to watch. Also acting as the downside filter is the previous monthly low of around 0.6365.

Alternatively, a daily closing beyond the 10-DMA hurdle of around 0.6450 isn’t an open invitation to the AUD/USD buyers as a descending resistance line from July 13 surrounding 0.6480 challenges the pair’s immediate upside.

Following that, the aforementioned resistance area comprising levels marked in May–June, around 0.6500, will be in the spotlight.

Overall, the AUD/USD pair is likely to decline further but the downside appears limited as the key support line holds.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.64
Today Daily Change -0.0062
Today Daily Change % -0.96%
Today daily open 0.6462
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6459
Daily SMA50 0.6602
Daily SMA100 0.6641
Daily SMA200 0.672
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.648
Previous Daily Low 0.6445
Previous Weekly High 0.6522
Previous Weekly Low 0.6401
Previous Monthly High 0.6724
Previous Monthly Low 0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6467
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6458
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6444
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6427
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6409
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.648
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6498
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6515

 

 

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