|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Drops sharply from 0.6400 as US Dollar recovers further

  • AUD/USD found an intense sell-off near 0.6400 after a sticky Australian inflation report.
  • A sticky Australian inflation report has prompted expectations of one more 25 bps interest rate hike from the RBA.
  • The US Dollar strengthens as a recovery in factory activities could escalate hawkish Fed bets.

The AUD/USD pair falls sharply after facing tough barricades near the round-level resistance of 0.6400. The Aussie asset faced a sell-off after the release of the sticky Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for the July-September quarter.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that consumer inflation grew at a higher pace of 1.2% in the third quarter against expectations of 1.1% and 0.8% reading in the April-June quarter. The annual inflation rose by 5.4% against the consensus of 5.3% but slowed from the former reading of 6.0%.

A sticky Australian inflation report has prompted expectations of one more 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which would push the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.35%.

The US Dollar strengthens on expectations that recovering US factory activities could escalate hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) bets.

AUD/USD trades in a Falling Channel chart pattern on a four-hour scale in which each pullback is considered as a selling opportunity by the market participants. The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is sloping downside, which indicates that the broader trend is bearish. Major support is plotted from October 3 low at 0.6287.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) trades in the 40.00-60.000, indicating a consolidation ahead of crucial US economic readings.

A fresh downside would appear if the Aussie asset drops below October 03 low around 0.6286. This would expose the asset to 21 October 2022 low at 0.6212, followed by 13 October 2022 low at 0.6170.

In an alternate scenario, a decisive break above August 15 high around 0.6522 will drive the asset to August 9 high at 0.6571. Breach of the latter will drive the asset towards August 10 high at 0.6616.

AUD/USD four-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6328
Today Daily Change-0.0027
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open0.6355
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.636
Daily SMA500.6401
Daily SMA1000.6547
Daily SMA2000.6648
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6379
Previous Daily Low0.6333
Previous Weekly High0.6393
Previous Weekly Low0.6296
Previous Monthly High0.6522
Previous Monthly Low0.6332
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6361
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.635
Daily Pivot Point S10.6332
Daily Pivot Point S20.6309
Daily Pivot Point S30.6286
Daily Pivot Point R10.6378
Daily Pivot Point R20.6402
Daily Pivot Point R30.6425

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid a softer USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold bounces toward $5,200 for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar weakness. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Ethereum jumps alongside a spike in open interest, realized price could limit upside

Ethereum has jumped above $2,100 on Wednesday, following a general recovery across the crypto market. The move was accompanied by a spike in Ethereum's open interest, which has increased to 13.43M ETH — its highest level since January 31. 

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.