|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls make a stand at the edge of the abyss

  • AUD/USD bulls step in below weekly lows ahead of NFP.
  • The bears need to take back control from a 50% mean reversion area or face a bullish surge into the close of the week.

As per the prior analysis, AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls could be encouraged at this juncture above 0.6790, the downside case was a risk and that scenario played out. The following illustrates the market structure that has been carved out ahead of Friday's showdown event in the US Nonfarm Payrolls.

It was stated that a break of 0.6790 as per the weekly chart could see a significant downside breakout:

AUD/USD live update

The price moved in on the prior support and has stalled awaiting the outcome of the US data later tonight from the US session. However, the head and shoulders offer a bearish outlook for the end of the week as bears push bulls to the edge of the abyss. A continuation to the next round number, 0.6700, could be just days away.  

AUD/USD H4 chart

From a shorter-term perspective, the price actually pierced the prior weekly lows which is a bearish feature on the chart. The accumulation has started to take place with the bulls probing the 0.68 round number. A correction to the prior lows around a 50% mean reversion could be on the cards for the day ahead. If the bears commit there, then this could be the last show of the bulls for the foreseeable sessions ahead. 

On the other hand, the week could end on a bullish note with the price targeting above 0.6850 to close the week down at an equilibrium:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks to regain the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD regains some balance and trade just above 1.1600 the figure ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair initially dipped to the 1.1530 zone for the first time since November, always following the stronger US Dollar and the marked flight-to-safety in the context of the ongoing Middle East crisis
 

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold moves closer to $5,150 amid sustained safe-haven flows

Gold climbs back above $5,100 during the Asian session on Wednesday, moving away from an over one-week low, touched the previous day. Sustained safe-haven flow, amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, acts as a tailwind for the bullion. However, a bullish US Dollar and reduced bets for more aggressive easing by the US Fed might keep a lid on the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the US ADP report and ISM Services PMI later today.

Ethereum: Whales step up buying as short positions contract

After holding firm heading into the last weekend, Ethereum whales have returned to action, pouncing on the volatility stemming from escalating military actions between the US and Iran.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.