AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls going against the grain to M-formation neckline target


  • AUD/USD bulls step in and target the daily M-formation neckline as the greenback slides.
  • DXY is testing 96 the figure ahead of the Fed.

As per prior analysis at the start of the week, AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears move the Aussie to the edge of the abyss, the price has advanced towards an identified daily target area in recent trade.

AUD/USD, prior analysis

It was started that ''AUD/USD's M-formation on the daily chart is a compelling chart pattern for the week ahead.''

AUD/USD live chart

As illustrated, the bulls have homed in n the neckline of the M-formation in trade today. This has occurred in a sharply hourly bullish impulse as follows:

The bullish impulse may not be over yet, but a correction could be in order back towards the prior resistance that has a confluence with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally that meets with the 10-EMA. 

The move has occurred as the US dollar sinks to test deeper liquidity and 96 the figure in the DXY index, breaking prior resistance and support as follows: 

However, considering how fluid geopolitics are, if there is a Russian invasion of Ukraine, the US dollar would be expected to continue higher.  In turn, this would be taking the Aussie down with it for a test of bullish commitments in the lower end of the 0.70 areas. 

Additionally, the M-formation is a reversion pattern, so a move higher in the greenback could infold in coming hours as markets get set for the Federal Reserve. 

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