|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears pressure 0.72 the figure, eyes on key employment data

  • AUD/USD will start the week after a poor performance over the last couple of days. 
  • The Aussie jobs data will be eyed as bears test 0.72 the figure. 

For the start of the week, AUD/USD has been on the backfoot having succumbed to a USD rebound on Friday. The following takes into account the price action in the greenback and the prospects for more upside which could tip the Aussie over the edge for the week ahead

DXY daily charts

While the upside was forecasted, there could still be some more to go on a break of the 38.2% Fibonacci level near 95.24:

The 61.8% Fibonacci level is near 95.63 which has a confluence with prior support as illustrated above making for a compelling target. 

This leaves the outlook for AUD/USD bearish, as follows:

A break 0.7200 support would be significant considering the psychological impact of a blowout of the dynamic trendline support. 0.7130 will be the next key support as prior lows ahead of 0.7080 prior lows.

On the other hand, the bullish inverse head and shoulders could play out as follows:

A move to the upside from the trendline support could be the start of the makings of the pattern. A bust through the neckline would be the nail in the coffin for the bears. This level comes in near 0.7320.  Likely trigger points, one way or the other, would be with Chinese and Aussie data which is anticipated to be another positive report considering the easing of restrictions heading into the holiday period. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Ripple’s DeFi shift in focus: Navigating XRPL EVM sidechain growth, XRPFi migration and liquidity
Ripple (XRP) has continued to trade under pressure, extending its decline by approximately 63% from the record high of $3.66 in July. The remittance token is trading above support at $1.35, while its upside appears limited by key supply zones, starting with $1.40, at the time of writing on Tuesday.
The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.