|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears could be about to pounce

  • AUD/USD´s bearish engulfment on the last 4-hour candle is eyed.
  • Bears eye a break of 0.6661 with 0.6625 seen below there guarding the 0.6550s. 

The Australian dollar traded around 30 pips on either side of around 0.67 the figure vs. the greenback on Friday and ended the month little changed, in a period marked by constantly shifting outlooks for interest rates and the banking sector globally.

Meanwhile, easing domestic inflationary pressures leave a question mark over the Reserve Bank of Australia´s interest rate meeting this week. The RBA stated in its latest minutes it would reconsider the case for a pause at the April fixing to reassess the economic outlook.

Looking at the technicals, there is also a downside bias as follows:

AUD/USD weekly chart

The bearish pennant is a compelling feature across the weekly and daily time frames. 

AUD/USD daily chart

Failures below 0.6720 keep the bearish bias in place. 

AUD/USD H4 chart

The bearish engulfment, BE, on the last 4-hour candle could be the catalyst for a firm break of structure for the opening sessions near 0.6661 with 0.6625 eyed below there guarding the 0.6550s. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1850 as US, China holidays keep trade muted

EUR/USD opens the week on a softer note, trading near 1.1860 during the Asian session on Monday. Activity is likely to remain muted, with United States markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday, while Mainland China is also shut for the week-long Lunar New Year break.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.