|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: 0.6680-75 appears a tough nut to crack for Aussie bears

  • AUD/USD remains pressured at the lowest levels in two weeks, justifies 100-SMA breakdown and bearish MACD signals.
  • Convergence of 200-SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement limits further downside amid oversold RSI.
  • Multiple horizontal hurdles, risk-off mood challenge Aussie pair buyers ahead of US PMI.

AUD/USD bears are in the driver’s seat at the lowest level in a fortnight, down 0.90% intraday around 0.6700 by the press time.

In doing so, the risk-barometer pair aptly portrays the market’s risk-off mood, backed by fears of economic slowdown and hawkish Fed moves in July versus the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) limited horizontal for further rate hikes.

That said, the pair’s clear downside break of the 100-SMA and bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias.

However, the oversold RSI (14) line hints at the limited downside room for the Aussie pair, which in turn highlights a joint of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s May 31 to June 16 upside, near 0.6680-75.

It’s worth noting that the AUD/USD pair’s weakness past 0.6675 needs validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6630 and the May 05 swing low of around 0.6580-75 to welcome the bears.

Meanwhile, a successful break of the 100-SMA, around 0.6735 by the press time, becomes necessary but not enough for the AUD/USD bulls to retake control.

The reason could be linked to the existence of seven-week-old and one-week-long horizontal resistances, around 0.6800 and 0.6840 in that order.

To sum up, AUD/USD is likely to remain bearish but the further downside appears difficult, suggesting a corrective bounce before the fresh leg towards the south.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6698
Today Daily Change-0.0058
Today Daily Change %-0.86%
Today daily open0.6756
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6696
Daily SMA500.6681
Daily SMA1000.6716
Daily SMA2000.6692
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6806
Previous Daily Low0.6745
Previous Weekly High0.69
Previous Weekly Low0.6732
Previous Monthly High0.6818
Previous Monthly Low0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6768
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6783
Daily Pivot Point S10.6732
Daily Pivot Point S20.6708
Daily Pivot Point S30.667
Daily Pivot Point R10.6793
Daily Pivot Point R20.683
Daily Pivot Point R30.6855

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks weak below 1.1800

EUR/USD has slipped back under pressure, breaking through the 1.1800 support and drifting towards the weekly lows near 1.1770 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The move reflects renewed strength in the US Dollar, with steady geopolitical tensions keeping its demand firm. Moving forward, the release of the German labour market report and flash inflation figures should keep European investors entertained on Friday.
 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

How AI, blockchain, stablecoins are shaping a new global economy – Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire

Artificial Intelligence (AI), blockchain technology and stablecoins are emerging as core pillars of a new global economic system, according to Circle’s CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.