|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: 0.6680-75 appears a tough nut to crack for Aussie bears

  • AUD/USD remains pressured at the lowest levels in two weeks, justifies 100-SMA breakdown and bearish MACD signals.
  • Convergence of 200-SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement limits further downside amid oversold RSI.
  • Multiple horizontal hurdles, risk-off mood challenge Aussie pair buyers ahead of US PMI.

AUD/USD bears are in the driver’s seat at the lowest level in a fortnight, down 0.90% intraday around 0.6700 by the press time.

In doing so, the risk-barometer pair aptly portrays the market’s risk-off mood, backed by fears of economic slowdown and hawkish Fed moves in July versus the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) limited horizontal for further rate hikes.

That said, the pair’s clear downside break of the 100-SMA and bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias.

However, the oversold RSI (14) line hints at the limited downside room for the Aussie pair, which in turn highlights a joint of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s May 31 to June 16 upside, near 0.6680-75.

It’s worth noting that the AUD/USD pair’s weakness past 0.6675 needs validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6630 and the May 05 swing low of around 0.6580-75 to welcome the bears.

Meanwhile, a successful break of the 100-SMA, around 0.6735 by the press time, becomes necessary but not enough for the AUD/USD bulls to retake control.

The reason could be linked to the existence of seven-week-old and one-week-long horizontal resistances, around 0.6800 and 0.6840 in that order.

To sum up, AUD/USD is likely to remain bearish but the further downside appears difficult, suggesting a corrective bounce before the fresh leg towards the south.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6698
Today Daily Change-0.0058
Today Daily Change %-0.86%
Today daily open0.6756
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6696
Daily SMA500.6681
Daily SMA1000.6716
Daily SMA2000.6692
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6806
Previous Daily Low0.6745
Previous Weekly High0.69
Previous Weekly Low0.6732
Previous Monthly High0.6818
Previous Monthly Low0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6768
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6783
Daily Pivot Point S10.6732
Daily Pivot Point S20.6708
Daily Pivot Point S30.667
Daily Pivot Point R10.6793
Daily Pivot Point R20.683
Daily Pivot Point R30.6855

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks higher to near 1.1800 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD trades marginally higher to near 1.1800 in the European session on Friday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness. Attention now turns toward the release of the preliminary inflation data for February from Germany and its major states during the day.

GBP/USD struggles near 1.3500 amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

GBP/USD struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the weekly low and oscillates in a narrow band near 1.3500 in European trading on Friday. The Gorton and Denton by-election, held on February 26, has become a focal point of political drama in the UK, along with the Bank of England (BoE) easing expectations, acts as a headwind for the British Pound and the GBP/USD pair.

Gold sticks to positive bias as safe-haven demand persists; $5,200 holds the key for bulls

Gold trades with positive bias for the third straight day on Friday, with bulls still awaiting sustained strength and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any further gains. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a large US naval and air power buildup in the Middle East.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.