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AUD/USD posts modest losses below 0.7740, looks to snap three-day winning streak

  • AUD/USD is edging lower in the American session.
  • On a weekly basis, AUD/USD is up more than 100 pips.
  • US Dollar Index struggles to stage a meaningful rebound.

The AUD/USD pair rose to 0.7760 earlier in the day but lost its traction during the American trading hours. As of writing, the pair was down 0.2% on a daily basis at 0.7745.

In the absence of significant fundamental drivers, the pair seems to be making a technical correction as investors may be looking to book their profits following a three-day rally. 

Earlier in the day, the data published by the University of Michigan showed that the Consumer Sentiment Index improved modestly to 86.5 in April's preliminary reading from 84.9 in March. Although this print came in weaker than the market expectation of 89.6, it failed to trigger a noticeable market reaction.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is staying in a relatively right range a little above 91.50, allowing AUD/USD to limit its losses ahead of the weekend. 

AUD/USD near-term outlook

UOB Group analysts think that AUD/USD could re-test 0.7785 in the next 1-3 weeks. "While conditions remain overbought and momentum is beginning to wane, there is scope for AUD to make another push higher towards 0.7785," analysts said. "Looking ahead, the next resistance is at 0.7820. A break of 0.7670 (‘strong support’ level was at 0.7645 yesterday) would indicate that the upside risk has dissipated.”

Additional levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7735
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open0.7752
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7645
Daily SMA500.7721
Daily SMA1000.7668
Daily SMA2000.7425
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7762
Previous Daily Low0.7705
Previous Weekly High0.7678
Previous Weekly Low0.7588
Previous Monthly High0.785
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.774
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7727
Daily Pivot Point S10.7718
Daily Pivot Point S20.7683
Daily Pivot Point S30.7661
Daily Pivot Point R10.7775
Daily Pivot Point R20.7797
Daily Pivot Point R30.7832

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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