|

AUD/USD posts modest gain above 0.6670, RBA rate decision, US ISM Services PMI eyed

  • AUD/USD extends its gain near 0.6672 in early Monday. 
  • Market players raise the speculation that the Fed could begin cutting interest rates as early as March 2024. 
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to keep cash rates unchanged at 4.35%. 
  • Traders will monitor the RBA rate decision, US ISM Services PMI on Tuesday. 

The AUD/USD pair posts modest gains during the early Asian session on Monday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the weaker US Dollar (USD) and dovish messages from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Market players await the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision on Tuesday, which is likely to keep the rate unchanged. The pair currently trades near 0.6672, losing 0.01% on the day.

The 10-year US Treasury bond yield fell after the downbeat data and dovish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed). While traders raise the speculation that the Fed could begin cutting interest rates as early as next March, Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back the odds that the central bank won the battle with inflation. Powell further stated on Friday that it was premature to rule out additional rate hikes or start discussing cuts.

About the data, US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November came in weaker than expected, flat at 46.7. The Manufacturing Employment Index fell to 45.8 versus 46.8 prior. Prices Paid were considerably higher than expected, growing from 45.1 to 49.9. Finally, the New Orders Index rose to 48.3 in November from the previous reading of 45.5. 

On the Aussie front, the market anticipates the RBA to keep cash rates unchanged, with downward surprises in the October monthly CPI and Retail Sales data supporting this view. Additionally, RBA Governor Michele Bullock Governor Michele Bullock has offered hawkish messages since taking over in mid-September, which lift the Australian Dollar (AUD) and act as a tailwind for AUD/USD. 

Looking ahead, traders will monitor the Australian TD Securities inflation data on Monday. The attention will shift to the RBA monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. Also, the US ISM Services PMI data will be released on Tuesday. These events could trigger volatility in the market. Market players will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6672
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.6674
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6519
Daily SMA500.6428
Daily SMA1000.6476
Daily SMA2000.658
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6676
Previous Daily Low0.66
Previous Weekly High0.6677
Previous Weekly Low0.6567
Previous Monthly High0.6677
Previous Monthly Low0.6318
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6646
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6629
Daily Pivot Point S10.6624
Daily Pivot Point S20.6574
Daily Pivot Point S30.6548
Daily Pivot Point R10.67
Daily Pivot Point R20.6726
Daily Pivot Point R30.6776

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD revisits 1.1780, or daily lows

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to reach daily troughs on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to a sudden bout of USD strength amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD makes a U-turn, challenges 1.3500

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, putting the 1.3500 support to the test on Thursday. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold sticks to the bid bias, flirts with $5,200

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The precious metal adds to Wednesday’s optimism despite the Greenback trades in a firm fashion, although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keep the yellow metal bid for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.