|

AUD/USD: Muted reaction to bigger-than-expected drop in Aussie Unemployment Rate

  • AUD/USD steady near 0.7755 following the Aussie jobs report. 
  • Australia's jobless rate drops more than expected but fails to propel AUD higher. 
  • Full-time jobs growth slows, possibly capping the upside in the AUD.

Australia's upbeat jobs report released at 00:30 GMT fails to impress the AUD bulls, leaving AUD/USD largely unaffected near 0.7755. 

Australia's jobless rate ticked lower to 6.6% in December to hit the lowest level since April versus expectations for a decline to 6.7% from November's 6.8%. The economy added 50K jobs as expected following a solid job gain of 90K in November. The Participation ticked higher to 66.2% as expected. Full-time jobs grew by 35.7K following December's 84.2K. 

The decline in the Unemployment Rate is a bullish development for the Aussie dollar. However, so far, the buyers have remained on the sidelines, possibly due to the slowdown in Full-time Employment. 

Also, the data is not strong enough to force the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to ditch its dovish bias. The central bank kept its cash rate unchanged at a record low of 0.1% in December repeated its promise to do more easing if needed. Further, it reiterated that there are no expectations for rate hikes for the next three years and won't raise borrowing costs until the inflation is within the to 3% target band. 

The pair's failure to cheer the decline in the jobless rate makes it vulnerable to pullbacks. The US dollar will likely draw bids if the Treasury yields track the US inflation expectations higher. The US 10-year yield is currently flat near 1.08%, having risen from 0.90% to 1.18% earlier this month.

A potential drop in the S&P 500 futures may draw offers for the AUD and other risk currencies. The futures are currently trading flat to negative. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7756
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.7748
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7703
Daily SMA500.7535
Daily SMA1000.7355
Daily SMA2000.7112
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7762
Previous Daily Low0.7691
Previous Weekly High0.7806
Previous Weekly Low0.7665
Previous Monthly High0.7743
Previous Monthly Low0.7338
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7735
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7718
Daily Pivot Point S10.7705
Daily Pivot Point S20.7663
Daily Pivot Point S30.7634
Daily Pivot Point R10.7776
Daily Pivot Point R20.7805
Daily Pivot Point R30.7847

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains apathetic near 1.1770 post-US PCE

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot on Friday, hovering around the 1.1770 area as the US Dollar trims its advance on Friday. Data wise on the US docket, inflation tracked by the PCE rose a tad in December, while the flash GDP showed the economy is seen expanding below estimates at 1.4%YoY in Q4 2025.

GBP/USD clings to daily gains around 1.3470 after US data

GBP/USD keeps the bid tone unchanged near 1.3470 amid increasing upside momentum in the US Dollar, particularly after the release of US PCE and GDP figures.

Gold trims gains on US data, flirts with $5,000/oz

Gold clings to daily gains just over the key $5,000 region per troy ounce on Friday. The modest gains in the yellow metal come despite the Greenback’s recovery is picking up pace following US data releases.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.