|

AUD/USD: May break above 0.6560 in near term – UOB Group

The Australian Dollar (AUD) could pullback, but any decline is unlikely to threaten 0.6480. Otherwise, AUD is likely to trade in a 0.6400/0.6600 range for the time being, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Resistance level is at 0.6560

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, when AUD was trading at 0.6520, we indicated that ‘the underlying tone still seems firm, and we continue to expect AUD to rebound.’ However, we pointed out that ‘any advance is unlikely to reach the major resistance at 0.6600.’ Our view was not wrong, as AUD rose to 0.6575 then pulled back, closing unchanged at 0.6519. The pullback has gathered some momentum. Today AUD could continue to pullback, but any decline is unlikely to threaten 0.6480 (minor support is at 0.6500). Resistance level is at 0.6560.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After holding a negative AUD view since late last month, we indicated two days ago (06 Aug, spot at 0.6510) that the weakness has stabilised. We expected AUD to trade in neutral range of 0.6400/0.6600 for the time being. There is no change in our view.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold reclaims $5,000 and above

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs just above the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.