AUD/USD faces a tough resistance around 0.6915/40 – UOB

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

The continuation of the uptrend in AUD/USD is expected to meet solid resistance in the 0.6915/40 band for the time being, suggest UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: Last Friday, we indicated that “there is room for AUD to strengthen further but overbought conditions suggest a break of 0.6915 is unlikely today.” Our view was correct as AUD rose to 0.6900 before easing off to close at 0.6876 (-0.11%). Conditions remain overbought and this combined with tentative signs of slowing momentum suggest AUD is unlikely advance further. Today, AUD could ease further but it is unlikely to threaten the support at 0.6830 (minor support is at 0.6850). Resistance is at 0.6890, followed by the rather strong level at 0.6915.

Next 1-3 weeks: Our update from last Friday (16 Jun, spot at 0.6875) is still valid. As highlighted, the AUD strength that started more than a week ago is still in place. However, after rising sharply and swiftly in the past one week or so, AUD is approaching a solid resistance zone between 0.6915 and 0.6940. This resistance zone might not be ease to break. On the downside, a breach of 0.6790 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would indicate that AUD is not ready to break above the resistance zone.

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.