AUD/USD: Extra upside looks likely

In the view of Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group, further gains in AUD/USD appears in store for the time being.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: We expected AUD to edge higher yesterday. However, we indicated that “in view of the mild upward pressure, any advance is not expected to break the major resistance at 0.6485.” Our expectations were not wrong, as AUD rose to 0.6474 before easing off. The mild upward pressure is intact, and there is room for AUD to continue to edge higher. That said, a sustained break above 0.6485 is unlikely. On the downside, a breach of 0.6430 (minor support is at 0.6445) would suggest that the current mild upward pressure has eased. \

Next 1-3 weeks: Two days ago (18 Sep, spot at 0.6435), we highlighted that as long as 0.6385 is not breached, there is a chance for AUD to test the resistance at 0.6485. AUD did not quite test 0.6485 as it rose to 0.6474 on Tuesday and Wednesday. Upward momentum has improved, albeit not by much. AUD is likely to trade with an upward bias, and if it breaks above 0.6485, it will likely advance further to 0.6515. The upside bias is intact as long as AUD stays above 0.6410 (‘strong support’ level previously at 0.6385).

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