AUD/USD explodes to test 0.7650 on hawkish RBA, bull pennant


  • AUD/USD holds the higher ground, rising over a big figure on RBA’s hawkish surprise.
  • The US dollar eases amid a better market mood, supporting the aussie pair.
  • Bull pennant breakout on the 1D chart on Monday justifies the explosion.

AUD/USD is sitting at the highest level since June 2021, eyeing a test of the 0.7650 barrier, as the buying interest around the aussie dollar remains unabated on the RBA’s hawkish pivot.

The RBA, at its April monetary policy meeting, kept the key rate unchanged at 0.10%, as widely expected. But what the trick for aussie bulls was the change in the central bank’s forward guidance, as it dropped its ‘patient’ pledge on the inflation developments, hinting at a potential rate hike in the upcoming meetings.

Further, the Russia-Ukraine crisis-driven surge in oil prices combined with holiday-thinned trading exaggerated the move higher in the major.

Meanwhile, the US dollar trades on the defensive amid a better market mood, despite looming risks of additional Western sanctions and penalties.

Next of relevance for the aussie remains the US ISM Services PMI and Fedspeak while the UN Security Council meeting will be also closely followed.

Technically, AUD/USD has extended the upside breakout from a bull pennant confirmed on Monday.

The pattern got validated after the pair closed Monday above the falling trendline resistance at 0.7519.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

AUD bulls remain poised for the further upside towards 0.7700, although the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is peeping into the overbought region, warranting caution.

Therefore, a minor pullback cannot be ruled before the major resumes the next uptrend.

Tuesday’s low of 0.7535 could emerge as powerful support, below which the 0.7500 level could be tested should the retracement gain momentum.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7638
Today Daily Change 0.0096
Today Daily Change % 1.27
Today daily open 0.7543
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7406
Daily SMA50 0.7269
Daily SMA100 0.7228
Daily SMA200 0.7298
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7557
Previous Daily Low 0.7482
Previous Weekly High 0.7541
Previous Weekly Low 0.7455
Previous Monthly High 0.7541
Previous Monthly Low 0.7165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7528
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7511
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7498
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7452
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7423
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7573
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7602
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7648

 

 

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