AUD/USD explodes to test 0.7650 on hawkish RBA, bull pennant


  • AUD/USD holds the higher ground, rising over a big figure on RBA’s hawkish surprise.
  • The US dollar eases amid a better market mood, supporting the aussie pair.
  • Bull pennant breakout on the 1D chart on Monday justifies the explosion.

AUD/USD is sitting at the highest level since June 2021, eyeing a test of the 0.7650 barrier, as the buying interest around the aussie dollar remains unabated on the RBA’s hawkish pivot.

The RBA, at its April monetary policy meeting, kept the key rate unchanged at 0.10%, as widely expected. But what the trick for aussie bulls was the change in the central bank’s forward guidance, as it dropped its ‘patient’ pledge on the inflation developments, hinting at a potential rate hike in the upcoming meetings.

Further, the Russia-Ukraine crisis-driven surge in oil prices combined with holiday-thinned trading exaggerated the move higher in the major.

Meanwhile, the US dollar trades on the defensive amid a better market mood, despite looming risks of additional Western sanctions and penalties.

Next of relevance for the aussie remains the US ISM Services PMI and Fedspeak while the UN Security Council meeting will be also closely followed.

Technically, AUD/USD has extended the upside breakout from a bull pennant confirmed on Monday.

The pattern got validated after the pair closed Monday above the falling trendline resistance at 0.7519.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

AUD bulls remain poised for the further upside towards 0.7700, although the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is peeping into the overbought region, warranting caution.

Therefore, a minor pullback cannot be ruled before the major resumes the next uptrend.

Tuesday’s low of 0.7535 could emerge as powerful support, below which the 0.7500 level could be tested should the retracement gain momentum.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7638
Today Daily Change 0.0096
Today Daily Change % 1.27
Today daily open 0.7543
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7406
Daily SMA50 0.7269
Daily SMA100 0.7228
Daily SMA200 0.7298
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7557
Previous Daily Low 0.7482
Previous Weekly High 0.7541
Previous Weekly Low 0.7455
Previous Monthly High 0.7541
Previous Monthly Low 0.7165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7528
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7511
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7498
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7452
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7423
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7573
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7602
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7648

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0400 after upbeat US data

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0400 after upbeat US data

EUR/USD consolidates daily recovery gains near 1.0400 following the release of upbeat United States data. Q3 GDP was upwardly revised to 3.1% from 2.8% previously, while weekly unemployment claims improved to 220K in the week ending December 13. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD extends slide approaches 1.2500 after BoE rate decision

GBP/USD extends slide approaches 1.2500 after BoE rate decision

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and break lower, nearing 1.2500 after the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decisions. The BoE maintained the bank rate at 4.75% as expected, but the accompanying statement leaned to dovish, while three out of nine MPC members opted for a cut.

GBP/USD News
Gold approaches recent lows around $2,580

Gold approaches recent lows around $2,580

Gold resumes its decline after the early advance and trades below $2,600 early in the American session. Stronger than anticipated US data and recent central banks' outcomes fuel demand for the US Dollar. XAU/USD nears its weekly low at $2,582.93. 

Gold News
Bitcoin slightly  recovers after sharp sell-off following Fed rate cut decision

Bitcoin slightly recovers after sharp sell-off following Fed rate cut decision

Bitcoin (BTC) recovers slightly, trading around $102,000 on Thursday after dropping 5.5% the previous day. Whales, corporations, and institutional investors saw an opportunity to take advantage of the recent dips and added more BTC to their holdings.

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures