|

AUD/USD dives to one-month lows at 0.6600 weighed by risk aversion

  • The Aussie is under increasing bearish pressure after breaching 0.6660 support.
  • Dwindling hopes of rate cuts and geopolitical tensions are boosting the US Dollar.
  • Fed speakers, US Retail Sales and a string of data from China will set the pair's near-term direction.
     

The risk-sensitive Aussie is one of the worst performers on Tuesday, succumbing to the US Dollar’s strength. Hawkish comments by ECB policymakers and the increasing uncertainty in the Red Sea have forced traders to reassess their rate cut expectations, which is boosting the US Dollar against most of its rivals.

In Australia, recent data has shown that consumer confidence deteriorated in January, which has increased negative pressure on the Aussie.

The focus today is on the US NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index and a speech of Fed’s Waller, a traditional hawk. The highlight of the week, however, will be Wednesday’s US Retail Sales data.

Also on Wednesday, a slew of macroeconomic data from China, with a particular interest on the Q4 GDP and December’s Retail sales might have a significant impact on the Aussie.

Technical analysis shows the pair under increasing bearish pressure after breaching the 0.6660 support area. The next downside targets are 0.6540 and 0.6520. Resistances are the mentioned 0.6660 and 0.6735.
 

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6601
Today Daily Change-0.0058
Today Daily Change %-0.87
Today daily open0.6659
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6753
Daily SMA500.6635
Daily SMA1000.6515
Daily SMA2000.6584
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6705
Previous Daily Low0.665
Previous Weekly High0.6735
Previous Weekly Low0.6647
Previous Monthly High0.6871
Previous Monthly Low0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6684
Daily Pivot Point S10.6638
Daily Pivot Point S20.6617
Daily Pivot Point S30.6584
Daily Pivot Point R10.6692
Daily Pivot Point R20.6726
Daily Pivot Point R30.6747

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.