AUD/USD declines into near-term lows around 0.6680 despite Aussie Retail Sales beat

The Aussie lost ground on Tuesday, paring away intraday gains.
Broader markets are favoring the US Dollar heading into the midweek.
This week hinges on US CPI inflation figures due on Thursday.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The AUD/USD slid back into recent lows on Tuesday, paring back Wednesday’s limited bounce as the Australian Dollar (AUD) shrugged off an upside beat in Australian Retail Sales. The US Dollar (USD) saw broad-market uptake on the day as investors adjusted their risk profile heading into the midweek.

Australia’s Retail Sales and Building Permits both beat expectations

Australia’s Retail Sales in November climbed 2% MoM, well above the 1.2% forecast and rebounded from October’s -0.4% decline, which saw a downside revision from -0.2%. Australian Building Permits also beat forecasts, printing at 1.6% in November, well back from October’s 7.2% (revised down slightly from 7.5%) but still above the market’s -2.0% forecast.

Australian Building Permits likewise beat the street, showing 2% growth in November versus the forecast 1.2%. October’s Building Permits were revised slightly lower from 7.5% to 7.2%.

US Data was thin on Tuesday, and markets will be broadly turning focus towards Thursday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures as investors look to draw a bead on future Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. Last Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls disappointed market participants hoping for a faster, deeper pace of rate cuts in 2024, as healthier jobs data makes it harder for the Fed to get pushed into a rate cut cycle.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook

The AUD/USD has settled back into familiar near-term lows near 0.6680 as intraday action gets capped underneath the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.6760. The Aussie is down 2.75% against the US Dollar from late December’s peak of 0.6871.

The AUD/USD’s near-term decline has the pair getting dragged back towards the 200-day SMA on daily candlesticks, approaching the 0.6600 handle as price action descends into a technical support zone following a bullish crossover of the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6683
Today Daily Change	-0.0036
Today Daily Change %	-0.54
Today daily open	0.6719

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6749
Daily SMA50	0.661
Daily SMA100	0.6502
Daily SMA200	0.6584

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6735
Previous Daily Low	0.6678
Previous Weekly High	0.6839
Previous Weekly Low	0.6641
Previous Monthly High	0.6871
Previous Monthly Low	0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6713
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6699
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6686
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6653
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6629
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6743
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6768
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6801

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1800 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony failed to impress Euro bulls.

GBP/USD holds above 1.3500, struggles to gain traction

GBP/USD rebound from session lows but stays below 1.3550 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar stay resilient against its rivals and makes it difficult for the pair gather recovery momentum. Investors await headlines that will come out of the US-Iran nuclear talks.

Gold clings to small gains near $5,200 ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold trades marginally higher on the day above $5,150 on Thursday as investors refrain from taking large positions. The US and Iran will hold the next round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, outcome of which could have significant implications for risk perception.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.