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AUD/USD climbs back closer to multi-week tops, comfortable above mid-0.6800s

  • Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East exerted some pressure earlier this Monday.
  • US-China trade optimism continues to underpin the Aussie and helped regain some traction.
  • The upside is likely to remain limited ahead of RBA minutes on Tuesday and FOMC meeting.

The AUD/USD pair quickly reversed the weekly bearish gap opening, albeit struggled to extend the momentum and remained well within a broader trading range held over the past one-week or so.
 
After last week's repeated failures ahead of the 0.6900 handle, the pair opened with a mild bearish gap at the start of a new trading week in reaction to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The weekend attacks on Saudi Arabian refining facilities triggered a fresh wave of the global risk-aversion trade and weighed on perceived riskier currencies - like the Australian Dollar.

Trade optimism attract some dip-buying

However, the recent optimism over the resumption of US-China trade talks and encouraging trade-related developments continued attracting some dip-buying interest around the China-proxy Aussie, which coupled with a subdued US Dollar price action - despite a follow-through uptick in the US Treasury bond yields - remained supportive of the pair's intraday uptick of around 20-pips.
 
The up-move seemed rather unaffected by the disappointing Chinese macro releases, showing that Chinese retail sales rose 7.5% year-on-year rate in August as compared to 7.9% expected and industrial production slowed further to 4.4% in August from 4.8% in July.
 
Meanwhile, bulls seemed lacking any strong conviction, rather refrained from placing any aggressive bets and preferred to wait on the sidelines heading into the upcoming key event risk - the highly anticipated FOMC monetary policy meeting later this week on September 17-18.
 
The Fed is widely expected to cut interest again on Wednesday, though opinions on aggressive easing remain divided and should lead to some unusual volatility during the second half of this week/assist investors to determine the pair's next leg of a directional move.
 
In the meantime, the broader market risk sentiment and the USD price dynamics might be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities amid absent relevant market-moving US economic releases and ahead of the RBA policy meeting minutes, due to be released during the Asian session on Tuesday.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6877
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open0.6878
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6791
Daily SMA500.6853
Daily SMA1000.6904
Daily SMA2000.7013
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6891
Previous Daily Low0.6856
Previous Weekly High0.6895
Previous Weekly Low0.6837
Previous Monthly High0.6869
Previous Monthly Low0.6676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6878
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6869
Daily Pivot Point S10.6859
Daily Pivot Point S20.684
Daily Pivot Point S30.6824
Daily Pivot Point R10.6894
Daily Pivot Point R20.691
Daily Pivot Point R30.6929

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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