AUD/USD: Bid tone intact despite below-forecast China Caixin PMI


  • AUD/USD keeps the gains despite weak China Caixin PMI. 
  • The AUD is drawing bids amid signs of risk recovery in the equity markets.
  • Both the RBA and the Fed are expected to cut rates in March.

AUD/USD continues to trade in the green as risk recovery is overshadowing the below-forecast China data released soon before press time. 

China's Caixin manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI), which surveys small and medium-sized export-oriented units, came in at 40.3, missing the forecast of 45.7 by a big margin and down from January's 51.7.

The data has come two days after the government reported its official PMI at a record low of 35.7 in February from 50.0 in January. A weaker-than-expected print was expected as the coronavirus outbreak has disrupted logistics and supply chains. 

As a result, the Aussie dollar is showing resilience. The AUD/USD pair continues to trade at session highs above 0.6520, having opened at 0.6465 in early Asia. 

The pair's ability to keep gains despite weak data could be associated with the recovery in the US stock futures. The S&P 500 futures are now reporting a 0.12% gain as opposed to a 1.3% drop seen two hours ago.  The Shanghai Composite index is also reporting a 1% gain. 

The risk recovery looks to have been fueled by dovish central bank expectations. The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in March and April. The markets are also pricing a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday. 

Meanwhile, Bank of Japan's governor Kuroda was out on the wires a few minutes ago stating that the central bank is closely monitoring future developments, and will strive to provide ample liquidity and ensure stability in financial markets through appropriate operations and asset purchases.

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6524
Today Daily Change 0.0010
Today Daily Change % 0.15
Today daily open 0.6514
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6666
Daily SMA50 0.6796
Daily SMA100 0.6817
Daily SMA200 0.6841
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6586
Previous Daily Low 0.6434
Previous Weekly High 0.6628
Previous Weekly Low 0.6434
Previous Monthly High 0.6775
Previous Monthly Low 0.6434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6492
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6528
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6437
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6359
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6285
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6589
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6663
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6741

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends losses toward 1.1100 on increased dovish ECB bets

EUR/USD extends losses toward 1.1100 on increased dovish ECB bets

EUR/USD accelerates decline toward 1.1100 in European trading on Friday. Softer French and Spanish inflation data ramped up Oct ECB rate cut bets, weighing on the Euro. However, the downside could be cushioned by a wobbly US Dollar, as US PCE inflation looms. 

EUR/USD News
USD/JPY slides 1% toward 143.00 as Ishiba wins LDP leadership race

USD/JPY slides 1% toward 143.00 as Ishiba wins LDP leadership race

USD/JPY is seeing a fresh sell-off toward 143.00 in the European session on Friday. The pair loses over 300 pips, as the Japanese Yen rebounds on Shigeru Ishiba's win in the LDP leadership run-off. Sanae Takaichi, who favored keeping interest rates lower, was expected to win the race. 

USD/JPY News
Gold price pulls back from record high ahead of US PCE Price Index, bullish bias remains

Gold price pulls back from record high ahead of US PCE Price Index, bullish bias remains

Gold price attracts some sellers on the last day of the week and retreats further from the all-time peak, around the $2,685-2,686 region touched on Thursday. The downtick is sponsored by the emergence of some US Dollar buying, which tends to undermine demand for the commodity.

Gold News
US core PCE set to show continued disinflation trend, reinforcing Federal Reserve easing cycle

US core PCE set to show continued disinflation trend, reinforcing Federal Reserve easing cycle

The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is seen rising 0.2% MoM and 2.7% YoY in August. Markets have already priced in near 50 bps of easing in the next two Federal Reserve meetings. A firm PCE result is unlikely to move the Fed’s stance on policy.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures