|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Stays inside key DMA envelope below 82.50 after Japan GDP, RBA Minutes

  • AUD/JPY refreshes intraday bottom while consolidating the previous day bounce off one-week low.
  • Preliminary Japan Q4 GDP missed upbeat forecasts but stayed positive, RBA Minutes repeated readiness to be patient on policy moves.
  • 200-DMA acts as immediate hurdle ahead of previous support line from late January.
  • 50-DMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement restrict nearby downside amid bullish MACD signals.

AUD/JPY seesaws between the 200-DMA and 50-DMA, taking offers to refresh intraday low around 82.20 as markets witness the duet of Japan Q4 GDP and RBA Minutes during Tuesday’s Asian session.

That said, Japan’s Preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 rose 1.3% QoQ versus 1.4% expected and -0.9% prior. Further, GDP Annualized also reversed the previous readouts of -3.6% with +5.4% figures but stayed below 5.8% market consensus. Further, the preliminary readings of GDP Deflator dropped to -1.3% YoY, below -1.2% expected and prior.

Read: USD/JPY hovers around mid-115.00s amid sluggish yields, mixed Japan Q4 GDP

On the other hand, the latest Minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy meeting stated, “Members observed that the achievement of the goals was within sight for the first time in several years.” However, the comments line, “Board is prepared to be patient as it monitors how the various factors affecting inflation in Australia evolve,” challenged AUD/USD buyers.

Read: RBA minutes: Members observed that inflation had picked up more quickly than the bank had expected

Technically, the AUD/JPY pair keeps the last week’s downside break of an upward sloping trend line from January 28, which in turn favors sellers. However, the 50-DMA level of 82.20 restricts the quote’s immediate decline.

Also challenging AUD/JPY sellers is the 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of December-January upside, near 81.50.

Should the quote drop below 81.50, the 61.8% Fibo. near 80.90 may test the bears before directing them to January’s low near 80.35 and the 80.00 threshold.

Meanwhile, the 200-DMA level of 82.40 guards recovery moves of the pair ahead of the support-turned-resistance near 82.65.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Sideways

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price82.28
Today Daily Change-0.06
Today Daily Change %-0.07%
Today daily open82.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.92
Daily SMA5082.21
Daily SMA10082.63
Daily SMA20082.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.65
Previous Daily Low81.55
Previous Weekly High83.99
Previous Weekly Low81.41
Previous Monthly High84.3
Previous Monthly Low80.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%82.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.97
Daily Pivot Point S181.71
Daily Pivot Point S281.08
Daily Pivot Point S380.61
Daily Pivot Point R182.81
Daily Pivot Point R283.28
Daily Pivot Point R383.91

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.