AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges after RBA’s dovish hold, technicals hint downside risks remain


  • AUD/JPY dipped below key support levels, like the Kijun-Sen, and Senkou Span.
  • The Chikou Span crossing below price action, and narrowing distance between Tenkan and Kijun-Sen, signals bears are gaining traction.
  • If AUD/JPY buyers reclaim 97.00, a rally to 98.00 is on the cards.

The AUD/JPY began Wednesday’s Asian session with a negative tone after registering losses of more than 1% on Tuesday. This is courtesy of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which held rates unchanged, though market participants perceived the decision as a “dovish hold,” so Aussie Dollar (AUD) sellers exerted downward pressure on the currency. At the time of writing, the pair is exchanging hands at 96.36, down 0.02%.

Despite registering solid losses, the AUD/JPY remains neutral to upward bias, but downside risks are emerging. The Chikou Span is crossing below the price action, turning bearish, and the distance between the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen is narrowing. If the pair slides below the November 10 low of 96.28, that will exert downward pressure on the pair. The next support would be the top of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at around 95.15/25, followed by the bottom of the Kumo at 94.95.

On the flip side, in the outcome of the AUD/JPY reclaiming the 97.00 figure, buyers could regain control. The next spotted resistance level is the Tenkan-Sen at 97.40, and if the pair gains additional momentum, it could rally toward the 98.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 96.41
Today Daily Change -1.06
Today Daily Change % -1.09
Today daily open 97.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 97.52
Daily SMA50 96.2
Daily SMA100 95.3
Daily SMA200 93.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 97.98
Previous Daily Low 97.2
Previous Weekly High 98.5
Previous Weekly Low 97.24
Previous Monthly High 98.66
Previous Monthly Low 95.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 97.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 97.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 97.12
Daily Pivot Point S2 96.77
Daily Pivot Point S3 96.34
Daily Pivot Point R1 97.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 98.33
Daily Pivot Point R3 98.68

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.

GBP/USD News
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.

Gold News
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.

Read more
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures