|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls are not out of the woods yet

  • AUD/JPY bears are in control of the longer-term time frames.
  • The bulls, on the other hand, could be on the verge of a break of key short-term resistance. 

As per the hourly chart, despite the better mood in financial markets and a relief rally in US stocks, the bulls are not out of the woods yet, and may not find their way out according to the higher time frames. 

The following illustrates this in a top-down analysis as follows:

AUD/JPY daily chart

The trend is down and will remain so until the resistance highlighted above is cleared. A retest of the structure and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, however, is not out of the question. 

AUD/JPY H4 chart

The 4-hour chart's price inefficiency between resistance levels is a compelling feature that could offer an opportunity for bulls to scalp towards the 94.40s on a break of near-term resistance of 93.90.

AUD/JPY H1 chart

The hourly time frame shows that the price is accumulating and with a break of the aforementioned resistance levels, then the bulls could be in the running for a retest of 95.10 and 95.80 thereafter. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold poised to challenge record highs

Gold prices added roughly 3% in the week, flirting with the $4,350 mark on Friday, to finally settle at around $4,330. Despite its safe-haven condition, the bright metal rallied in a risk-on scenario, amid broad US Dollar weakness.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.