|

AUD/JPY advances towards 97.00 on widened RBA-BOJ policy divergence, Aussie GDP eyed

  • AUD/JPY is eyeing a fresh seven-year high at 97.00 as RBA-BOJ policy divergence widens.
  • Investors should brace for upbeat Australian GDP data ahead.
  • A decline in households’ consumption indicates a loss of consumer confidence in the Japanese economy.

The AUD/JPY pair is aiming to refresh its seven-year high at around 97.00 as a rate hike announcement by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday has widened RBA-Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy divergence. On one side, where the Australian Economy is facing the headwinds of soaring price pressures, the Japanese economy is struggling to elevate the inflation rate led by a slowdown in the overall demand.

On Tuesday, RBA Governor Philip Lowe announced a fourth consecutive rate hike by 50 basis points (bps). Australia’s Official Cash Rate (OCR) now stands at 2.35%. As price pressures have been recorded at 6.1% for the second quarter of CY2022, a spree of rate hikes is highly expected by the RBA. Adding to that, the Australian inflation rate has not revealed signs of exhaustion yet.

Brace for an upbeat Australian GDP data

In today’s session, investors’ entire focus will remain on the Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. The Australian economy is expected to grow by 1% on a quarterly basis vs. 0.8% recorded in the prior quarter. Also, the yearly data is expected to improve to 3.5% vs. the 3.3% recorded earlier. An occurrence of the same will strengthen the aussie bulls further.

A decline in households’ consumption may restrict the inflation rate

Meanwhile, yen bulls are worried over a decline in the consumption of Japanese households. The Overall Household Spending data released on Tuesday is indicating a decent drop in the households’ demand. The economic data landed at 3.4%, lower than the expectations of 4.2% and the prior release of 3.5%. This indicates households’ pessimism in the Japanese economy and also lower expenditure by the former may restrict the inflation rate.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price96.3
Today Daily Change0.73
Today Daily Change %0.76
Today daily open95.57
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.69
Daily SMA5094.03
Daily SMA10093.28
Daily SMA20089
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.61
Previous Daily Low95.03
Previous Weekly High96.2
Previous Weekly Low94.71
Previous Monthly High96.2
Previous Monthly Low90.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%95.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.25
Daily Pivot Point S195.2
Daily Pivot Point S294.82
Daily Pivot Point S394.62
Daily Pivot Point R195.78
Daily Pivot Point R295.98
Daily Pivot Point R396.36

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retakes $5,200 amid sustained haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions persist ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks, which underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.