|premium|

Amazon Stock Price and News: AMZN better-than-expected earnings boosts Asia market sentiment

  • Amazon is set to release earnings after the close on Thursday.
  • Big tech has so far been mixed: AAPL and Google were strong, but Meta missed.
  • Recent read across from web services should help boost Amazon earnings.

Update: Amazon (AMZN) closed on Wall Street down 7.81% to $2,776.91c per share, gapping from $2,977.27c to print a low of $2,766.66c. The price drop was technically significant as it drove through the $2,903 daily W-formation's neckline support.

This had left the weekly candle on the brink of a weekly bearish close and the stock leaning over the edge of the abyss where the $2,500's were exposed to the downside on a weekly chart analysis

However, Amazon shares were up a whopping 17% in extended trading after the company reported Q4 net income late Thursday of $27.75 per diluted share, up from $14.09 per share a year earlier.

For Q1, the company expected expects net sales at $112 billion to $117 billion. It stated that operating income would be at $3 billion to $6 billion. 

''Profit beat expectations, helped by the cloud-computing division, and investors cheered a price hike for the company’s Prime subscription service,'' Bloomberg reported, adding:

''The reaction highlights the importance of Amazon’s diversification from its e-commerce roots. Online store sales actually declined from last year’s blockbuster gains tied to the pandemic. Yet Amazon’s profitable cloud-computing and advertising businesses combined to more than make up for it.''

“Amazon has evolved into a true platform, as more than 50% of its revenue now comes from areas outside of first-party retailing, such as cloud computing and advertising,” said Deren Baker, chief executive officer of market research firm Edge by Ascential.

Meanwhile, Asian equity markets are supported by an Amazon-led bounce in US futures, driving Nasdaq 100 futures up 1.7% and bolstering sentiment in Asia.

End of update

Update: Amazon (AMZN) is down 7.56% heading into the daily close and earnings announcement, changing hands at $2,784.44 per share. US stocks came under selling pressure after local data failed to impress, and as more central banks joined the tightening train. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank came out more hawkish than anticipated, highlighting global inflation concerns. At the time being, Wall Street is a sea of red, with the Nasdaq Composite down over 430 points or 3%. 

Previous update: AMZN shares unexpectedly dropped ahead of earnings coming Thursday after the close. Fifteen minutes into Thursday's regular session, AMZN stock is down 5.2% at $2,855. The NASDAQ is down 2.2%, and most of the market carnage appears to be a consequence of Facebook's (FB) (now Meta Platforms) spectacular 25% plunge.

Amazon (AMZN) steps up to the plate on Thursday after the close, and things are decidedly shaky. It is the bottom of the ninth for equities, and a home run is badly needed. Things got off to a solid start as Apple (AAPL) maintained its batting average, and Google (GOOGL) then stepped up and smashed it over the fence. However, Meta Platforms (FB) last night struck out, and now earnings season and equity sentiment hang by a thread. Already NASDAQ futures are pointing sharply lower and risk assets are being hammered again. The market needs a big beat from Amazon. 

Amazon Stock News

Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to come in at $3.67, and revenue is expected to hit $137.6 billion. Last time out, Amazon missed on EPS by quite a distance and also missed on revenue. This time expectations have been accordingly lowered after FB. We spoke yesterday in advance of those numbers on how the smart play and risk-reward was favoring the downside for Meta. Apple and then Google had raised expectations. Meta shares had jumped 5% after Google (GOOGL) earnings. A beat was priced in, so a miss was severely punished. We were, however, surprised by the extent of the reaction.

Amazon Web Services accounts for about 15% of total revenue, and more notably over half of Amazon's operating income comes from Amazon Web Services. In that regard, we note this morning that Best Buy announces it is to use Amazon Web Services for its cloud services. We also note with interest the strong performance of the IBM and Microsoft cloud divisions. Both companies saw significant growth, and this impacted directly on both companies beating earnings estimates.

IBM grew its cloud revenue by 20% last quarter. "We increased revenue in the fourth quarter with hybrid cloud adoption driving growth in software and consulting," said CEO Arvind Krishna.

Microsoft reported revenue growth of 46% for its cloud business and forecast growth to accelerate in the next quarter. Data from Statista back in October showed Amazon having the largest share of the cloud market at 32%. Microsoft was in second place.

We expect Amazon Web Services to outperform and drive an earnings beat. Outlook should be in line with Microsoft and provide strong reassurance.

Amazon Stock Forecast: double top target is $2,600

Now we see the risk-reward skewed to the upside. Today is likely to see losses for big tech after Meta Platforms' share price collapse. AMZN is already down 3% in the premarket, and NASDAQ futures are negative this morning. Breaking $2,883 though has been a strongly negative move for AMZN. The stock has basically been in a large range for the last year with the occasional move above, but $2,883 always held as support. This year is the first time that level has been broken since July 2020. If it breaks again, Amazon is likely to retreat to the last consolidation zone highlighted at $2,500 to $2,300. 

If earnings do perform and the stock appreciates, the first target or resistance level is at $3,191. This is the point of control and also the lows from both August and October 2021. That will end the double top dominance currently at play. The target of the double top is $2,600, which has not yet been reached but is very close.

Amazon (AMZN) chart, 20 hourly


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retakes $5,200 amid sustained haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions persist ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks, which underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.