|

Alibaba (BABA) Stock Price and Forecast: Why did BABA rally 10% on Thursday?

  • Alibaba (BABA) stock rose nearly 10% on Thursday to close at $122.99.
  • Alibaba (BABA) shares one of the worst performers for 2021.
  • Regulatory concerns and delisting fears are likely to continue to weigh on BABA.

Alibaba stock recovered some ground on Thursday but the stock remains highly pressured with Chinese concerns elevated. The stock has fallen over 47% this year as most investors have reduced their exposure to Chinese related names on the back of heightened regulatory concerns from China. Fears of potential delistings are also a feature with DIDI moving its listing from New York to Hong Kong. 

Alibaba (BABA) stock news

Thursday may have seen some respite for BABA investors but this is most likely due to year end position closing. Given the share price fall there are likely many shorts that are now closing positions. There had been some bullish calls from strategic desks on a broad-based China tech play versus the Nasdaq so this may have seen some interest back into Chinese names. Thursday also saw the news that China is to reduce income taxes and focus on consumption recovery, a trend that would likely favour Alibaba. Alibaba is also considering selling its 30% stake in Weibo.

Alibaba (BABA) stock forecast

This starts to look a little more interesting now. Thursday's move has now put in place a double bottom at $110. Double bottoms are powerful reversal signals and this is confirmed by the upward sloping RSI, a bullish divergence. The MACD is also similarly upward sloping and has crossed over. Look for $110 to hold and $129 to be tested. A break could be powerful with a move to close the earnings gap at $141 next up. 

Support at $110 and $100, then $80 from the large volume profile there. Resistance at $129 and $141. 

Alibaba chart, daily


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.