Elliott Wave Forecast Team
ElliottWave-Forecast.com
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a very popular momentum based indicator that is specifically used within technical analysis by market technicians. It measures the speed and magnitude of an instruments most recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price. Developed by J.Welles Wilder Jr in the late 70s as a line graph based oscillator.
Why do traders use them?
Traders can use RSI to predict momentum and behaviour of a financial instrument. It helps traders validate trends and trend reversals. Easy to spot whether an instrument is overbought or oversold. It can in some cases support other indicators as well. Finally, we can measure whether momentum is running out of steam by price and the RSI diverging against each other.
RSI are usually plotted at the bottom of the chart so they can compare the line graph with the price action of the instrument it is measuring.
Divergences
One of the most common ways RSI are praised to be used are for spotting divergences. In a bullish trend, when price is extended and forming new higher highs – the intervals between each high may get smaller and shorter as price progresses. The RSI would measure this and start forming lower lows, therefore diverging against the main price action. This would give us an indication that the instrument’s trend is running out of momentum.
Most common settings used
RSI is set to measure the price to the last 14 days of price action with levels set between 30 and 70. RSI above or below this level is considered to be either overbought or oversold.
Here are EWF – we primarily use Elliott Wave to label our charts to provide context of the individual waves. However, we use indicators such as the RSI and the Stochastic indicator to measure momentum. Next week I will be covering the Stochastic indicators.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD caught in chart churn ahead of Wednesday’s HCOB PMIs, US ADP jobs figure
EUR/USD spent Tuesday in a churning pattern, cycling just below 1.075 as the pair grapples with finding momentum. Key labor data from the US looms ahead on Friday, and EU economic figures remain scattered throughout the back half of the trading week.
GBP/USD extends upside above 1.2650, eyes on US data/FOMC Minutes
The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory for the fifth consecutive day around 1.2688 on Wednesday during the early Asian session. The USD Index declines below the 106.00 hurdle, which supports the major pair. Investors await the US June ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, along with the FOMC Minutes, which are due later on Wednesday.
USD/JPY extends gains above 161.50 ahead of US data, Fed Minutes
USD/JPY trades on a stronger note above 161.50 after reaching a new high for this move near 161.75 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Market players remain focused on the possible Japanese FX intervention, which could cap the pair’s upside. US data and Fed Minutes awaited.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD stays directed toward 0.6700 after strong Aussie data, weak China's PMI
AUD/USD holds higher ground toward 0.6700 in Asian trading on Wednesday. The pair finds fresh bullish impetus after the Australian Retail Sales data beat estimates with 0.6% YoY in May. Weak China's Caixin Services PMI data fails to deter Aussie buyers. Eyes turn to US data and Fed Minutes.
USD/JPY extends gains above 161.50 ahead of US data, Fed Minutes
USD/JPY trades on a stronger note above 161.50 after reaching a new high for this move near 161.75 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Market players remain focused on the possible Japanese FX intervention, which could cap the pair’s upside. US data and Fed Minutes awaited.
Gold price remains confined in a range below 50-day SMA, FOMC minutes in focus
Gold price continues with its struggle to gain any meaningful traction on Wednesday. Traders seem reluctant and prefer to wait for more cues about the Fed’s rate-cut path. Investors look to FOMC minutes for some impetus ahead of the NFP report on Friday.
Celebrity meme coins controversy continues amid Pump.fun revenue dominance
Meme coin generation platform Pump.fun outperformed the Ethereum blockchain in daily revenue on Tuesday after raking in $1.99 million. Following this achievement, a celebrity meme coin based on actress Sydney Sweeney was the subject of controversy after its developers dumped their bags on investors.
Benefit of the doubt: US consumer confidence and elections
Despite widespread expectation for the US economy to be in recession in 2024, that fate has been avoided thanks to a resilient consumer. Yet it is difficult to square this undaunted spending with consumer confidence and sentiment readings that are lackluster at best.
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