For years, brokers and mutual fund managers have been telling investors to dollar cost average.  This is a strategy where the investor consistently adds equal amounts of money to their investment on a regular basis.  Due to market fluctuations, the investor should be able to buy more shares when the price is down and less shares when the price rises.  The theory behind this is that after a period of time the investor would have a better cost basis for their investments than if they had invested a lump sum all at once.  Many brokers believe that an individual cannot time the market and is better off averaging their costs.

While this may work in theory, in real life traders know this is not the case.  Brokers caught onto Dollar cost averaging as a way to increase their commissions and appease clients who may be facing losses. If this strategy was applied to a stock in the beginning of 2008, 2000 or any market bubble, it would have had disastrous results.

Since traders and investors can make a greater profit by timing the markets, what would happen if we added to our winning trades?  In the courses at Online Trading Academy, we constantly talk about letting your profits run, and in the Extended Learning Tracks we teach how to manage trades in progress. If you are in a trade that is working out, you know you were right on the direction. Why not add to your winnings at a reasonable place to capture more profits in the position? Bigger winners will allow you to have a larger cushion to cover any small losses in your trading.

So the question is: where would be the logical place to add to your winning positions? You do not want to arbitrarily add just because your position is gaining. Many times, we may end up adding to the winner just after a fast move in our favor, only to see the prices correct and the new addition to our position start losing.

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Obviously, we need a logical, low risk opportunity to add to our winners. This is like what we want when we enter the position initially. There are several setups that offer low risk, high probability and high profit potential that are taught in the Professional Trader course. These setups are perfect for adding to winning positions.  We can add to our winners on retracements to zones and/or patterns called Momentum Breakouts (MBO).

There are several momentum breakout patterns that we identify, but don’t have the space to describe them in detail here. However, you are looking for a certain pattern that still allows you to buy near a demand zone and sell near a supply zone.

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The momentum breakout trading opportunities are also perfect for intraday trading on days where there is a large gap and go in a stock. Many traders get frustrated when they see a stock screaming to new highs or dropping fast after a gap down without them on board. Learning the momentum breakout strategies will give you an opportunity to trade these situations with lower risk.

The market turns can be timed.  At Online Trading Academy, we teach our students proper market timing techniques through rule based trading.  What we do not teach is an outdated strategy that can put student’s capital at great risk.  Until next time, trade safe and trade well!

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Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00, as focus shifts to Japan snap election

USD/JPY is back in the red below 157.00 in the Asian session on Friday. The Japanese Yen recovers ground against the US Dollar amid some profit-taking ahead of Japan's snap general election on Sunday. The preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report for February will be released later on Friday. 


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates Premium

The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space Premium

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000.

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling tests key support ahead of a big week Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election Premium

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

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