Warren Buffett is a legend in investing circles, mostly for his highly successful strategy of buying and holding stocks. However, although he purchases huge numbers of stocks, it is probably a mistake to say that he is a stock trader. The Sage of Omaha does not buy stocks looking for short-term returns or technical moves – he’s actually buying businesses that are well run and have significant growth potential. In other words, he invests in businesses, not in stocks. This is the secret behind the success of Berkshire Hathaway – Buffett knows how to recognize a good business and become a partner with it for the long run.

Does Buffett ever trade, rather than acquire?

From time to time, Buffett has made changes in his portfolio – including divesting assets such as Union Pacific when he no longer felt that the value was there. However, for the most part, no one has ever accused Buffett of speculative trading – he has the reputation of being the ultimate value investor.
Except, perhaps, when it comes to currencies.

Buffett and the foreign currency market

Back in 2002, Buffett did something he never did before – he started to take positions in the foreign currency market. This was because he became increasingly concerned about the growing trade deficit in the United States. He was aware of the issue before hand, but by 2002 felt that global appetite for continued US trade deficits was starting to falter badly.

Buffett grew the positions that he took in 2002 further in 2003 as his view of the US dollar became increasingly bearish. In fact, the dollar did start to slide at the end of 2002, leaving Berkshire Hathaway in the relatively enviable position of owning about $12 billion of foreign currency contracts, spread across a number of different currencies. At the same time, Buffett also held about $1 billion in euro-denominated bonds with high yields.

So, despite having built his empire based on buying into high-value, well-run businesses, the Sage of Omaha has shown that he is definitely not above betting on currencies to hedge risk and drive profits. Clearly, this is a lesson that we can all benefit from – Buffett did not become one of the richest men in the world by ignoring opportunities or failing to manage downside. In fact, Buffett’s moves in the currency markets clearly show that trading – not investing – in the currency market is a perfectly valid strategy, even for hard-core value investors.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.

GBP/USD News
Japanese Yen drops to fresh daily low; USD/JPY approaches 155.00 ahead of US PMIs

Japanese Yen drops to fresh daily low; USD/JPY approaches 155.00 ahead of US PMIs

The Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on stronger domestic inflation-inspired intraday uptick. The BoJ rate-hike uncertainty, the upbeat market mood and elevated US bond yields cap the JPY. The USD climbs to a fresh year-to-date high and offers additional support to the USD/JPY pair. 

USD/JPY News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.

GBP/USD News
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700

Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700

Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.

Gold News
Geopolitics back on the radar

Geopolitics back on the radar

Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.

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Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.

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