Yesterday I completed one of our 3 Day Market Timing Orientation Events at my local Philadelphia campus, where prospective new students of Online Trading Academy come to explore our educational solutions and learn more about the application of our patented Core Strategy. During one of the breaks, I sat down with one of the new students who had just enrolled in the Academy and she was telling me how excited she was about her upcoming education, but also a little nervous because she was new to the markets and felt like she had less experience than some of the other people in the orientation. She also asked me how I found the time to both teach and trade, as she was a little concerned about not being able to put the necessary hours into her trading.
I love it when people ask me how I get time to trade. They seem to think that I sit in front of the PC screen all day and that I must be there every minute of every day clicking buttons to trade! If that were the case, I would have quit trading a long time ago! I told her that many people ask that question, especially considering our commitment to students and teaching for Online Trading Academy. Well, many people look at the financial markets in the wrong way and do the wrong things, they also tend to have the wrong idea of what trading really involves on a day to day basis.
Ninety percent of market speculators in the world today tend to breakeven or, worse yet, they lose money on a consistent basis. The main reason why this happens is not because they don’t have a secret indicator or trading robot, but mainly because of the mindset. The average trader looks at the markets through the eyes of a retail trader. The major institutions out there today look at the markets through a very different set of eyes altogether, and that is what we train our students to do as well.
You ask the retail trader what it takes to make money in the markets and they will often say that you need the most cutting-edge analysis skills or data feeds to make it work, combined with thousands of hours of screen-time at the charts, decoding the secret messages within the candles! Do you really think that the major investment houses and funds sit there each and every day picking candle patterns to make their moves? It couldn’t be further from the opposite. Institutions are nothing more than businesses which seek to buy low and sell high, building strong positions in the markets and managing their risk. They create the major moves in the markets which the news services then justify with fundamentals after the rally or drop.
At Online Trading Academy, we train our students to develop their skills to attain the ability to think and act like an institution, giving them the solution for generating short term income and long term wealth. This is only achievable if you learn to look at the market through the eyes of an institution, not a retail trader and, believe it or not, it doesn’t take anywhere near the amount of time to do as you would think. Let’s look at a recent example:
The chart above is a set up I was showing the class which was of interest to me a few weeks ago on the GBPUSD. Notice how we have highlighted the Demand Zone at 1.3792? The way prices reacted at that area suggested to me that there was some heavy institutional buying in that area last month and clearly their orders didn’t get filled as price moved away from the area in such a strong fashion. This offered us a great low risk buying opportunity on the GBPUSD with a stop below 1.3722. Considering we now know where to buy, we can set and forget this trade and put the orders in ahead of time, giving us freedom to focus on other things.
Now, to the untrained eye, this is the time to start shorting the market aggressively because the perception at the time is that something bad has happened and we should get in before it drops harder, especially as the GBPUSD is going down, and the amateur tends to follow the trend. To most out there buying is perceived to be high risk, but to us the actual risk is tiny in comparison to the potential reward.
And where exactly is the reward? Well, again the chart tells us all we need to know. It is above at the highlighted Supply Zone where we know that institutions and major banks were selling. We do what they do, not the opposite. This supply zone would be a good place to close the long trade out if it worked, and set up a short on the GBPUSD. The goal of our plan is to sell at supply and buy at demand and to do nothing more than follow the plan. The neat thing is that if our orders are set up ahead of time, this whole plan can be carried out in the background without me needing to be there. This is also a major advantage when tempering our emotions and letting things play out as they are meant to. This is how the trade worked out a few days after:
The trade at the time of writing is already over a 3:1 reward to risk and still going to target. We can lock in profit safely with a trailing stop if we choose and get short at the supply with another set and forget. If the short fails, then we will still be in profit from the earlier long trader and we didn’t even sit there watching it all happen.
Think about how simple this plan was. Did it take any more than to look at the chart, set the entry, stops and targets and leave well enough alone? Did we need to be there through every second of the trade? Of course not, but still the retail mind finds trading far from easy because it has been trained to think whereas the institutional mind has been trained to act on what it sees and by its plan, no more no less. Don’t overthink or overact…just follow a plan.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD turns sideways around 0.6660 as rally hits pause
The AUD/USD pair turns sideways as the three-week rally hits a pause after posting a fresh three-month high at 0.6686 on Wednesday. During Friday’s early European trading hours, the Aussie pair trades calmly near 0.6660. The pair struggles to extend its advance after the release of the unexpectedly weak Australian labor market data for November.
EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains
EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.
Gold poised to challenge record highs
Gold prices added roughly 3% in the week, flirting with the $4,350 mark on Friday, to finally settle at around $4,330. Despite its safe-haven condition, the bright metal rallied in a risk-on scenario, amid broad US Dollar weakness.
Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week
After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?
Big week ends with big doubts
The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.
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