A different topic for us to look at today as we await the outcome of the US elections. Around 15% of daily spot FX trading is executed by algorithms. So, what is an algorithm? It is an automated trading program that places a trade according to a pre-defined set of instructions. These algorithms have developed from very simple rule based mechanisms to more advanced strategies that respond to different market conditions.
So, which are the main currencies are using EA’s?
In a Markets Committee survey where algorithm providers where asked which currencies EA’s were used with and what the size of the ticket was the following answered were given. Look at the results of the survey below. It is no surprise that around 94% of G7 currencies have clients using EA’s. This is for the major currencies like the USD, the EUR and the GBP etc. The average ticket size is around 31 million for this G7 block.
So, what are the consequences of using algorithms?
One hidden impact of their use has been a move towards market makers, often the bank, trying to match orders internally without passing them on to external venues. This trend has now raised some concerns with the Bank of International Settlements as if too much internal order sorting takes place then the quality of prices reported may be undermined. You could envisage a situation where the reported prices is not reflecting the true price. This could also cause the trading volumes on primary venues to drop. This matters because prices from primary trading venues such as Refinitiv and EBS are used as reference prices for other currency trading platforms and for bilateral trading.
Another impact to be aware of is the rise of ‘flash crashes’. These are sudden violent moves in markets and they appear to be accented by algorithmic trading. The most likely time for a flash crash is after the close of the US session and before the open of the Asian session, so this is something to be aware of if you are holding trades over that time.
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EUR/USD drops below 1.0450 as USD gathers strength
EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.0450 on Wednesday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar (USD) stay resilient against its rivals and weighs on the pair as markets wait for the Federal Reserve to publish the minutes of the January policy meeting.
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Gold climbs to new all-time high near $2,950
Gold retreats slightly from the all-time high it touched at $2,947 but manages to stay above $2,930 on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield clings to modest gains above 4.55%, limiting XAU/USD's upside.
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GBP/USD retreats below 1.2600 despite strong UK inflation data
GBP/USD struggles to hold its ground and trades in the red below 1.2600 on Wednesday. Earlier in the day, the data from the UK showed that the annual CPI inflation climbed to 3% in January from 2.5% in December. Market focus shifts to FOMC Minutes.
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Maker Price Forecast: MKR generates highest daily revenue of $10 million
Maker (MKR) price extends its gains by 6%, trading around $1,189 on Wednesday after rallying more than 20% so far this week. Artemis data shows that MKR generated $10 million in revenue on February 10, the new yearly high in daily revenue.
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Money market outlook 2025: Trends and dynamics in the Eurozone, US, and UK
We delve into the world of money market funds. Distinct dynamics are at play in the US, eurozone, and UK. In the US, repo rates are more attractive, and bills are expected to appreciate. It's also worth noting that the Fed might cut rates more than anticipated, similar to the UK. In the eurozone, unsecured rates remain elevated.
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