Predicting the forex markets can be a challenging, yet doable thing to master. The challenge lies in the requirement of constant market analysis and consistently applying your skills. Your perception of the market will help you predict trends, find the best possible entries, and exits. So it is absolutely clear that it is critical that you understand what you are seeing on your trading monitor.
When predicting the forex markets it is important to focus both on the most recent price development/candle designs, but also to never lose track of the bigger picture. There are many tools to stay aware of both and that help you be in sync with the market. Being in sync with the market means knowing the story from front to end (or most recent developments).
The story
So what is this story? I'll try to keep it as basic as possible, otherwise it will become to lengthy an article. The more detailed version of this is taught in the elite members area of Forex Watchers and from experience I know it will take some time before traders get a full grasp of it.
The story is based on reading all the candle design that has happened in the near past. How far you go back depends on the time frame you're trading, but you need to see several swings on one time frame higher. The emphasis really is on reading the market candle by candle. What did price do at which areas, asking yourself questions like "why did it react from there and not from there?" or "how come that reaction was so strong?". It really comes down to figuring out what happened and why. Trying to do this based purely on the technical read will often give you the upper hand in predicting the forex markets and even big news events. Just remember, everything happens for a reason.
Final words
Focusing just on certain candle patterns or just on the most recent developments will leave you exposed to things you don't expect to happen. Successful trading really is the sum of all your skills and education applied to the market. So you need to educate yourself as much as you can and then use that skill set and knowledge and apply it appropriately.
#UrbanForex - Be conscious of your trading!
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround
EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll.
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness
GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.
USD/JPY dips to test a previous top at 156.60 following hot Japanese inflation
The Yen trims some losses following higher than expected inflation levels in Japan. The hot inflation figures have increased hopes of a BoJ hike in January. Technically, the pair is correcting lower, after having reached strongly overbought levels.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround
EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll.
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness
GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.
Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower
Gold extends its daily rebound and trades above $2,620 on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declines toward 4.5% following the PCE inflation data for November, helping XAU/USD stretch higher in the American session.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
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