The monthly release of the NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) figures is a highly anticipated moment for all traders. And this is with good cause, because the Non-Farm Payrolls has been historically known to shake up the market place quite a bit. Using a reliable NFP prediction strategy is something that many traders are after.
Just like most other news releases on the economic calendar, traders will use these figures to determine the strength or weakness of the underlying economy. NFP looks specifically at whether the US economy is expanding or contracting, based on the number of jobs added to the labour force. Having a NFP prediction strategy is a good way to be part of this action.
The NFP Prediction Strategy
This particular strategy has been tried and tested at Forex Watchers and Urban Forex. The videos above are two examples of live trading this strategy in a webinar.
The strategy itself is fairly straightforward. Find a correlating group and trade in the direction of the last daily candle. You can either choose to get in before the news is released or after. Both has it's pros and cons. Prior to the news spread are significantly lower, but there's the risk of the news spiking you out. After the news spreads will be higher, but you will have a bit more certainty on the direction - even when you miss a chunk of the move.
Final Words
Regardless of whether you intend to trade the news or maybe stand aside; remember NFP can be an exciting and will often bring unexpected volatility. If you do decide to trade, stick with your news trading plan and strategy, and always keep an eye on risk / reward levels. Because of the high excitement, emotions will come into play and it's not unwise to use a demo account for the first few times you trade NFP.
#UrbanForex - Be conscious of your trading!
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Urbanforex will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.<7p>
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses
EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.
USD/JPY stays pressured below 145.00 after hot Tokyo inflation data
USD/JPY remains under pressure below 145.00 in Asian trading on Friday, The Japanese Yen is underpinned by hot Tokyo annual CPI data, which fans hawkish BoJ expectations. The pair's downside, however, is cushioned by the recent US Dollar strength and a better mood. US PCE eyed.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses
EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.
Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend
Gold stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward $2,500 in the American session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher toward 3.9% after US PCE inflation data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower.
Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation
Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts. The weaker than expected July numbers triggered market turbulence, instilling fears about a potential recession in the US.
Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September Premium
Eurostat will publish the preliminary estimate of the August Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices on Friday, and the anticipated outcome will back up the case for another European Central Bank interest rate cut when policymakers meet in September.
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