- XRP exchange reserves in Binance and Upbit have declined by nearly $13 million.
- In the past three days, investors opened over $123 million worth of XRP positions.
- XRP needs to overcome key descending trendline resistance to stage a rally to $0.6640.
Ripple's XRP is up nearly 3% on Thursday as investors increased their buying pressure in spot and futures exchanges.
XRP buyers could help boost bullish momentum
XRP exchange reserves across the Binance and Upbit crypto exchanges have begun trending downward after rising by nearly 62 million XRP between November 3 and 5. In the past 24 hours, nearly 24 million XRP tokens worth $12.9 million have flowed out of both exchanges. A decrease in an asset's exchange reserve indicates rising buying pressure.
XRP Exchange Reserve - Binance | CryptoQuant
A similar bullish sentiment is visible in XRP's futures open interest, which has increased by $123 million in the past three days. Open interest is the total number of unsettled contracts in a derivatives market. The rising OI shows investors are expecting the XRP uptrend to continue.
XRP Exchange Open Interest | Coinglass
However, XRP's weighted sentiment has plunged below its neutral level, indicating the cryptocurrency is either seeing negative or low social media sentiment among investors.
XRP Weighted Sentiment | Santiment
Meanwhile, Ripple's CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated in an X post on Thursday that he hopes Democrats hold Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler accountable for "ignoring the law."
Ripple technical analysis: XRP could rally to $0.6640 if it overcomes descending trendline resistance
XRP is trading near $0.5560, up over 3%, following $3.18 million in futures liquidations in the past 24 hours. Long and short liquidations accounted for $1.24 million and $1.95 million, respectively.
The remittance token is back below the $0.5608 resistance after seeing a rejection near a descending trendline resistance that extended from March 11.
XRP/USDT daily chart
If XRP bounces off the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) convergence, it could rise above $0.5608 and retest the descending trendline resistance near $0.5780. A successful move above this trendline resistance will see XRP rise to tackle the $0.6640 level.
On the other hand, the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day SMA convergence could also serve as resistance and potentially push XRP downward to $0.4860.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above the neutral level after crossing above its moving average yellow line, indicating increased bullish momentum. The bullish momentum will be strengthened if the Awesome Oscillator (AO) crosses above the neutral level.
A daily candlestick close below $0.4860 will invalidate the thesis and cause XRP to decline to $0.4190.
Open Interest, funding rate FAQs
Higher Open Interest is associated with higher liquidity and new capital inflow to the market. This is considered the equivalent of increase in efficiency and the ongoing trend continues. When Open Interest decreases, it is considered a sign of liquidation in the market, investors are leaving and the overall demand for an asset is on a decline, fueling a bearish sentiment among investors.
Funding fees bridge the difference between spot prices and prices of futures contracts of an asset by increasing liquidation risks faced by traders. A consistently high and positive funding rate implies there is a bullish sentiment among market participants and there is an expectation of a price hike. A consistently negative funding rate for an asset implies a bearish sentiment, indicating that traders expect the cryptocurrency’s price to fall and a bearish trend reversal is likely to occur.
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