- LUNA price shows tight wounding around the $2 psychological level, signaling a volatile move.
- A retest of $1.94 before an explosive move to equal highs at $2.80 could occur.
- A four-hour candlestick close below the $1.94 support level without a quick recovery will invalidate the bullish thesis.
LUNA price has been consolidating tightly since June 30, after undoing the gains seen over the previous week. This small range, suggests that an explosive move is around the corner, although the direction of a breakout remains to be seen.
LUNA price prepares for volatility
LUNA price rallied 46% on June 26 and June 27, setting up a swing high at $2.80. This rally immediately witnessed a 26% pullback and was quickly followed by a 36% run-up to set up another swing high at $2.80, creating an equal high.
Resting above $2.80 is a bunch of buy-stop liquidity from traders that shorted this move. Hence, it would make sense from a market maker perspective to push LUNA price higher to collect this liquidity. However, the recent consolidation makes it so that the breakout could go either way.
Considering that Bitcoin price shows a slight affinity towards a temporary bullish move, investors can expect LUNA price to do the same. A quick 32% rally that sweeps the $2.80 level will fulfill the upside objective and potentially limit the upswing here.
However, from a long-term perspective, there are three equal highs that were formed at $3.51 and in some cases, this run-up might extend to this level to collect liquidity. In total, this move would constitute a 67% ascent.
LUNA/USDT 1-day chart
While things are looking up for LUNA price, a four-hour candlestick close below the $1.94 support level will indicate that the bulls are weak. If the altcoin fails to recover quickly above this support, it will further confirm that the sellers are in control and invalidate the bullish thesis detailed above.
In such a case, LUNA price might crash 16% to revisit the June 18 swing low at $1.60.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC nosedives below $95,000 as spot ETFs record highest daily outflow since launch
Bitcoin price continues to edge down, trading below $95,000 on Friday after declining more than 9% this week. Bitcoin US spot ETFs recorded the highest single-day outflow on Thursday since their launch in January.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL’s technical outlook and on-chain metrics hint at a double-digit correction
Solana (SOL) price trades in red below $194 on Friday after declining more than 13% this week. The recent downturn has led to $38 million in total liquidations, with over $33 million coming from long positions.
SEC approves Hashdex and Franklin Templeton's combined Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETFs
The SEC approved Hashdex's proposal for a crypto index ETF. The ETF currently features Bitcoin and Ethereum, with possible additions in the future. The agency also approved Franklin Templeton's amendment to its Cboe BZX for a crypto index ETF.
Bitcoin: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policy
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December. The rally was driven by the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January and the reduced supply following the fourth halving event in April.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.