• LINK whales are busy accumulating, oblivious to the 2022 bear market.
  • Chainlink price is back on the drawing board, with support at $6.20 expected to hold.
  • A month-long falling channel on the four-hour chart could limit whales' effort toward a bullish turnaround.

Chainlink price downtrend will likely grind to a halt in the short term and reverse direction, reaching out for a sustainable northbound move if investor activity, especially among whales, upholds a seven-month uptrend.

The live price feed oracle token trades at $6.53 at the time of writing, representing a 23.64% decline from its September peak at around $8.55. A bullish trend reversal is anticipated any time from now. However, investors should not panic if LINK stretches the down leg to $6.20 (robust support) before bouncing to the upside.

Chainlink whales are buying their way through the bear market

Over the past year, addresses holding between 10,000 to 1 million LINK tokens have accumulated an additional 4.73% of the network's existing supply. This translates to 47.31 million LINK worth $307.52 million at the market rate.

Chainlink Supply Distribution

Chainlink Supply Distribution

The MVRV (Market Value Realized Value), an on-chain metric from Santiment, shows that investors are unlikely to lose hope for a substantial rebound. This on-chain index highlights the profit or loss of LINK holders. It follows the price at which each token last moved compared to its current market value.

A negative MVRV reading, like in the case of Chainlink, implies that the token is undervalued. Since the price tends to correct to the fair market value, a trend correction could be bolstered by the pressure from the whales as they fill their bags.

Chainlink MVRV ratio

Chainlink MVRV ratio

Chainlink price closes in on a robust support

The falling parallel channel's lower boundary supports LINK price at $6.44. Over the last four weeks, the price bounced off this level twice, making it a viable support area. A new bullish move will surface if this level is defended at all costs to guide Chainlink price to the pattern's upper boundary. Bulls could stage a coup here for a breakout to $8.00, a move to $8.50 in the cards.

LINK/USD eight-hour chart

LINK/USD eight-hour chart

On the other hand, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator recently presented traders with a sell signal. The odds inclined on the bearish side as the 12-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average), blue, crossed below the 26-day EMA, red.

Therefore, long orders are not recommended yet – not until LINK exhausts the downtrend and affirms support. Stubbornly bearish investors could keep shorting Chainlink price but consider support at $6.20, a potential take-profit level.


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