• XRP price is hovering around the $0.395 weekly support level, trying to discern the directional bias.
  • A breakdown of this barrier could knock Ripple by 50% to the volume point of control at $0.186.
  • If buyers manage to recover above the $0.621 barrier, it will invalidate the bearish thesis. 

XRP price shows an interesting outlook as it crashes below multiple support levels on a weekly time frame. This bearish outlook is inescapable as the LUNA-UST kingdom collapses. The domino effect is not just felt by BTC but also by the entire ecosystem.

Despite the brutality witnessed over the past week, more could be around the corner, which could drive Ripple further down.

XRP price at make or break levels

XRP price has been producing lower highs since April 12 swing high at $1.96, with the swing lows forming a base around the $0.621 support level. This consolidation was seen for over a year before a decisive breakdown was seen in the second week of May.

Since then, XRP price has crashed 32% to where it currently trades at $0.382. The massive downturn comes as the entire crypto market is in a selling frenzy after the 98% crash in LUNA price due to the instability of the UST peg.

While the $0.395 weekly support level seems to have it under control, things are not as simple as they seem from the outside. As Bitcoin hovers around $28,200, the chances of a relief rally are high, especially since it has dipped into most of the 2021 liquidity pools.

However, a further descent in the big crypto’s market value will cause XRP price to shatter the aforementioned support level. The remittance token could then crash by 53% to retest the volume point of control at $0.186 for the price action since 2017.

This point is where the highest volume for XRP price was traded since 2017, making it a critical inflection point. Thus, the $0.186 level will likely serve as stable support and see accumulation come into the picture.

Regardless, the point still stands – a 50% crash is on the cards for XRP price if it fails to hold above the $0.395 foothold.

XRP/USD 1-week chart

XRP/USD 1-week chart

Further representing the grim and oversold nature of XRP price is the 365-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV). This on-chain metric determines the average profit/loss of investors that purchased XRP over the past year. A negative value indicates that the market participants are at a loss and are less likely to sell, representing an opportunity to accumulate for long-term holders. 

Historical data notes that the recent sell-off for XRP price puts the 365-day MVRV at -53%. These levels were last seen in October 2015, when Ripple was hovering around $0.0046.

This outlook represents the massively unprecedented sell-off and, from a long-term perspective, could be a good place to accumulate. Still, a further crash in Bitcoin price could completely annihilate the current support level and knock the remittance token down by 50% 

XRP 365-day MVRV 

XRP 365-day MVRV 

It is worth noting that if the bulls manage to kick-start a recovery at $0.395, pushing Ripple toward $0.621, it may encourage sidelined investors to reenter the market. Under these conditions, buyers would have to push XRP price above the $0.621 barrier on a weekly chart to invalidate the bearish thesis. This development could propel the remittance token to sweep the $0.917 equal highs formed on February 7 and March 28.

 


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Polygon joins forces with WSPN to expand stablecoin adoption

Polygon joins forces with WSPN to expand stablecoin adoption

WSPN, a stablecoin infrastructure company based in Singapore, has teamed up with Polygon Labs to make its stablecoin, WUSD, more useful in payment and decentralized finance.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Coinbase envisages listing of more meme coins amid regulatory optimism

Coinbase envisages listing of more meme coins amid regulatory optimism

Donald Trump's expected return to the White House creates excitement in the cryptocurrency sector, especially at Coinbase, the largest US-based crypto exchange. The platform is optimistic that the new administration will focus on regulatory clarity, which could lead to more token listings, including popular meme coins.

More Crypto News
Cardano's ADA leaps to 2.5-year high of 90 cents as whale holdings exceed $12B

Cardano's ADA leaps to 2.5-year high of 90 cents as whale holdings exceed $12B

As Bitcoin (BTC) gets closer to the $100,000 mark for the first time — it crossed $99,000 earlier Friday — capital is rotating into alternative cryptocurrencies, creating a buzz in the broader crypto market.

More Bitcoin News
Shiba Inu holders withdraw 1.67 trillion SHIB tokens from exchange

Shiba Inu holders withdraw 1.67 trillion SHIB tokens from exchange

Shiba Inu trades slightly higher, around $0.000024, on Thursday after declining more than 5% the previous week. SHIB’s on-chain metrics project a bullish outlook as holders accumulate recent dips, and dormant wallets are on the move, all pointing to a recovery in the cards.

More Shiba Inu News
Bitcoin: Rally expected to continue as BTC nears $100K

Bitcoin: Rally expected to continue as BTC nears $100K

Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high of $99,419, just inches away from the $100K milestone and has rallied over 9% so far this week. This bullish momentum was supported by the rising Bitcoin spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETF), which accounted for over $2.8 billion inflow until Thursday. BlackRock and Grayscale’s recent launch of the Bitcoin ETF options also fueled the rally this week. 

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP