• Traders have locked in $345 million in bitcoin options expiring four days after the Nov. 4 elections.

  • Distribution of open interest shows bullish sentiment, according to Wintermute.

Crypto traders speculating on how the impending U.S. elections might affect the digital assets industry have locked millions in Bitcoin (BTC) options tied to the event.

The so-called election expiry options, due for settlement four days after the Nov. 4 elections, began trading on Deribit a month ago. As of writing, the notional open interest or the dollar value of the number of active options contracts was $345.83 million, according to data source Amberdata.

Call options, which offer an unlimited upside payoff potential at the expense of limited loss, accounted for 67% of the total open interest. The rest came from put options, which offer protection against price drops, amounting to a put-call ratio of less than 0.50.

In other words, twice as many calls were open as puts, reflecting bullish expectations from the outcome of the elections.

"These election-dedicated contracts allow investors to capitalize on the increased interest by speculating on how the election might affect the crypto markets in a targeted way. The current put-call ratio of 0.50 indicates a bullish sentiment, with twice as many calls traded as puts," algorithmic trading firm Wintermute said in a note shared with CoinDesk.

Chart

The call option at the strike price of $80,000 is the most popular. (Deribit Metrics) (Deribit Metrics)

The call option at the strike price of $80,000 is the most popular, boasting an open interest of over $39 million. Broadly speaking, open interest is mainly concentrated in higher strike calls, starting from $70,000 to $140,000. That's a sign of traders positioning for new record highs around the election time.

Meanwhile, $39 million is locked in the $45,000 put option.

"The concentration of call options' open interest at strikes around $80K and $100K suggests that market participants are positioning for potential upside in bitcoin, while the presence of puts at lower strike price of $45,000 indicates some level of hedging or downside protection," Wintermute noted.


All writers’ opinions are their own and do not constitute financial advice in any way whatsoever. Nothing published by CoinDesk constitutes an investment recommendation, nor should any data or Content published by CoinDesk be relied upon for any investment activities. CoinDesk strongly recommends that you perform your own independent research and/or speak with a qualified investment professional before making any financial decisions.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Crypto community reacts to rumors Kamala Harris could make SEC Gensler Treasury Secretary

Crypto community reacts to rumors Kamala Harris could make SEC Gensler Treasury Secretary

The crypto community reacted to a report on Monday alleging that Kamala Harris will likely nominate Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler as Treasury Secretary if elected. The report accompanies the Democratic National Convention.

More Cryptocurrencies News

Ethereum gas fees hit record lows as ETH attempts historical price move

Ethereum gas fees hit record lows as ETH attempts historical price move

Ethereum is down over 3% on Monday after posting weak flows across ETH ETFs and record lows in gas fees last week. The decline also coincides with ETH attempting to repeat a historical price move that it experienced in the last two years.

More Ethereum News

ADA slips out of top 10 cryptos, risk heavy correction as on-chain indicators turn bearish

ADA slips out of top 10 cryptos, risk heavy correction as on-chain indicators turn bearish

Cardano slipped out of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on Monday following a bearish signal across several of its on-chain metrics. ADA has largely underperformed in the current cycle compared to other altcoins, considering its price has been on a five-month decline since mid-March. 

More Cardano News

XRP Ledger sees big drop in transactions in 2024

XRP Ledger sees big drop in transactions in 2024

Ripple trades at $0.5833 on Monday as the altcoin extends gains and recovers from the crypto market crash in early August. The Ripple stablecoin announcement, the Securities & Exchange Commission vs. Ripple lawsuit ruling and recent research reports published by SBI-owned HashHub are the key market movers for the altcoin this week.

More Ripple News

Bitcoin: Signs of weakness persist

Bitcoin: Signs of weakness persist

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $58,000 on Friday after after testing and failing to overcome the resistance level around $62,000 earlier in the week. The risk-on mood returned to markets this week, Marathon Digital added 4,141 BTC worth $249 million to its holdings and the US SEC approved a MicroStrategy leveraged ETF, potentially giving investors more exposure to Bitcoin. 

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP