Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: On-chain metrics turn bullish forecasting a massive breakout


  • Bitcoin begins to build momentum for a significant push past $12,000.
  • Ethereum recovers from the recent dip to $360; it must break the 50 SMA hurdle for gains to $400.
  • Ripple pushed to the drawing board at $0.24 even as whales continue accumulating.

After a gruesome encounter on Friday, cryptocurrencies across the board spent the weekend seeking stability and a chance to restart uptrends. The market was thrown off balance when OKEx suspended digital assets/cryptocurrencies withdrawals. An update from the exchange after the incident says that “withdrawals are still temporarily suspended, but all other operations are running smoothly. User funds are safe.

Significant growth has been recorded in terms of the total market capitalization from Friday’s $355 billion to $360 billion on Monday. The data by CoinMarketCap highlights a decrease in trading volume from $87 billion to $60 billion. This low trading volume puts to perspective the drab price action over the weekend.

Crypto market capitalization

Bitcoin screams buy as volatility returns

The flagship cryptocurrency made a gradual recovery from support at $11,200. However, bulls could not sustain gains above $11,500, resulting in a retreat. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $11,435 amid a short-term building bearish momentum.

According to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the reversal from $11,500 is only temporary. A breakout above the descending trendline shines a light on the strengthening bearish grip. On the other hand, a series of higher highs is forming on the RSI, a bullish signal for BTC.

Simultaneously, the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern points towards a potential breakout in the near term. As soon as the triangle resistance is thrown in the rearview, majestic price action will begin to actualize.

BTC/USD daily chart

BTC/USD price chart

Santiment’s Age Consumed metric shows a significant movement of previously idle BTC. In other words, the metric highlights the amount of Bitcoin changing addresses daily multiplied by the days since they last moved. On October 19 (65,000 BTC), a spike in Age Consumed points to a significant increase in volatility and extensive price action soon.

Bitcoin Age Consumed chart

According to IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP model, Bitcoin is facing relatively strong resistance at $11,470 - $11,799. Here, nearly 985,000 addresses previously purchased approximately 731,000 BTC. Flipping this region into support might send Bitcoin considerably above $12,000.

On the downside, the flagship cryptocurrency is accorded immense support. The stacks of buyer congestion areas can hold BTC, preventing dire losses. It is essential to single out the most robust support, running from $11,123 to $11,370. Here, around 2.2 million addresses previously purchased roughly 1.1 million BTC.

Bitcoin IOMAP chart

BTC/USD price chart

Ethereum bulls aim for $400

Ethereum bulls are not giving up on the mission to pull above $400 despite last week’s slump to $360. Meanwhile, the smart contract giant is trading at $375. The 50 Simple Moving Average hinders movement immediately on the upside. More resistance is expected at $380 and $390 (ascending triangle pattern resistance).

On the downside, buyers need to hold the price above the triangle pattern. Otherwise, a breakdown might continue. In case of a reversal, support is anticipated at the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA). Nonetheless, the path of least resistance is upwards, at least for now.

ETH/USD 4-hour chart

ETH/USD price chart

On-chain data provided by Santiment’s holder distribution metric shows some Ethereum whales still accumulating. Since October 7, a lock-step growth is visible in the number of addresses holding between 10,000 and 100,000 tokens. Precisely, these addresses rose by 13 to 974 by October 18, representing a 1.3% increase.

While the figure may seem insignificant, the sum of the volume moved is relatively high. As the price steadily grows, buying pressure behind Ether is likely to build, in turn, pushing the price higher.

Ethereum holder distribution chart

ETH holder distribution

Ripple consolidates before breakout

Ripple inched farther away from the resistance at $0.26, delaying the recovery to $0.3, as discussed last week. Support at $0.24 has been retested again, but XRP is trading at $0.241. The 50 SMA limits movement on the immediate upside.

Similarly, the Bollinger Band middle layer will also delay recovery but once in the rearview, XRP bulls will shift the focus to $0.25 and $0.26. The 100 SMA may also slow gains to $0.25, but the RSI’s uptrend emphasizes the path with the least resistance is upwards.

XRP/USD hourly chart

XRP/USD price chart

Santiment’s holder distribution metric is printing a bullish picture for Ripple in the near term. Addresses holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP have grown significantly in the last week, from 1,329 on October 13 to 1,340 on October 19. The upturn represents building buying pressure behind the cross-border token, resulting in the possibility of recovery to $0.26 and $0.3.

Ripple holder distribution chart

XRP holder distribution

Daily takeaway

Bitcoin recovered from the drop to $11,200 but failed to sustain gains above $11,500. However, on-chain analysis shows that the flagship cryptocurrency is heading into a period of high volatility. If the resistance between $11,451 and $11,780 is broken, Bitcoin might have a smooth sailing above $12,000. It is worth mentioning that if the immense support between $11,123 and $11,370 is broken, BTC may plunge to $10,700.

On the other hand, Ethereum’s upside is capped under the 50 SMA. If this the hurdle remains intact, recovery to $400 might be a pipe dream. Besides, the formation of an ascending triangle is a bearish sign.

Ripple whales continue to accumulate tokens even as the price dropped to $0.24 support. Consolidation brought to light by the Bollinger Bands may culminate in a breakout to $0.26 and $0.3, respectively.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Celebrity meme coins controversy continues amid Pump.fun revenue dominance

Celebrity meme coins controversy continues amid Pump.fun revenue dominance

Pump.fun outperformed the Ethereum blockchain on Tuesday after raking in $1.99 million. Following this achievement, a meme coin based on actress Sydney Sweeney was the subject of controversy after its developers dumped their bags on investors.

More Meme Coins News

PEPE's on-chain metrics indicate potential rally after weeks of silence

PEPE's on-chain metrics indicate potential rally after weeks of silence

PEPE has struggled to see any significant price move after reaching an all-time high in May. Increased adoption rate and low MVRV ratio indicate a bullish run may be on the horizon. A single PEPE outflow from Binance worth $14.7 million gives credence to signs of bullish expectation.

More Pepe News

Ethereum has failed to overcome key resistance despite bullish sentiment surrounding ETH ETF

Ethereum has failed to overcome key resistance despite bullish sentiment surrounding ETH ETF

Ethereum (ETH) is down more than 1.4% on Tuesday following another ETH sale from the Ethereum Foundation. Meanwhile, crypto exchange Gemini's recent report reveals that ETH ETF could see about $5 billion in net inflows within six months of launch.

More Ethereum News

Crypto community blasts Polkadot following report of treasury spending

Crypto community blasts Polkadot following report of treasury spending

Polkadot reports $87 million of treasury spending during H1. Crypto community members expressed harsh feelings toward the DOT team's high spending. DOT is up more than 2% in the past 24 hours but risks correction following the report.

More Polkadot News

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin (BTC) price appears poised for a decline this week, influenced by slight outflows in US spot ETFs, selling activity among BTC miners, and a combined transfer of 4,690.28 BTC to centralized exchanges by the US and German governments.

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP