- Bitcoin price looks primed for a retracement to the liquidity area, ranging from $52,956 to $56,004.
- Ethereum price breaks out of the ascending parallel channel for the second time, anticipating a retest of $3,640 or lower.
- Ripple price fails to show strength, a revisit of the $0.82 support floor likely.
Bitcoin price dipped below a crucial psychological level on the first day of November, but the recovery seems to be going well. While a short-term bounce to collect liquidity seems plausible, the mid-term outlook for the big crypto and crypto markets seems to be hedged on a downswing that will help form a base for the upcoming rally.
Bitcoin price anticipates liquidity run
Bitcoin price has been consolidating between $63,757 and $60,000 for ten days. While BTC spent two days below the psychological level, its recovery seems to be going well. This short-term bounce seems to be aiming for the ‘buy stop’ liquidity resting above the double top at $63,757 formed on October 22 and October 25.
A wick above this barrier will be more than enough to collect liquidity, but for the correction thesis to play out, BTC needs to produce a decisive daily close below $66,000. If successful, this move would be a perfect run-up that sets the stage for a 13% correction into the liquidity zone, ranging from $52,956 to $56,004.
While this is bearish in the short-term, it would provide the market makers and the sidelined buyers an opportunity to fuel up their longs and head for a new all-time high. The 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $77,525 would be the next target for bulls.
BTC/USD 1-day chart
On the other hand, if Bitcoin price pushes to produce a daily close above $66,000, it would indicate that the market makers are preemptively pushing BTC higher. This move would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis but would also indicate that the big crypto will make a run for the all-time high at $67,016.
Ethereum price prepares to head lower
Ethereum price has rallied 60% from September 30 and set up three higher highs and four higher lows in this period. Connecting these swing points using trend lines reveals the formation of an ascending parallel channel.
ETH broke out of this consolidation on October 29, it managed to get back inside the setup and create a new all-time high at $4,467. However, the recent breakout seems to be struggling and is likely to retrace to the four-hour demand zone, ranging from $3,905 to $4,027.
A close below $3,905 will signal a move toward $3,639, just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and eventually to the 62% Fibonacci level at $3,332. This move would also allow market makers to collect liquidity, hoping for a move higher.
ETH/USD 4-hour chart
While things are looking down for Ethereum price in the shorter time frame, this downswing will arid ETH holders of selling pressure and propel the altcoin higher. However, if ETH preemptively produces a higher high above $4,468, it will invalidate the bearish thesis.
Ripple price shows weakness
After five attempts, Ripple price has failed to breach the $1.13 to $1.23 supply zone and is currently looking to ready for a pullback. However, the downswing will meet several support levels at $1.05, $1 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.96. From a market makers’ perspective, the most pain for traders would occur if the XRP price heads below $0.85.
Therefore, investors can expect Ripple to slice through the 62% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.85 and retest the next barrier at $0.77. This downswing would constitute a 30% descent from the current position.
XRP/USD 1-day chart
If Bitcoin price suffers a pullback, XRP price will likely follow suit. However, since BTC could make a run at $63,000 before heading lower, investors can expect Ripple price to retest the $1.13 to $1.23 supply zone.
A decisive daily close above $1.13 will invalidate the bullish thesis and mark the start of an uptrend. In such a case, the remittance token will make a run at the range high at $1.41.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Is Altcoin Season here as Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high?
Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high of $98,384 on Thursday, with altcoins following the suit. Reports highlight that the recent surge in altcoins was fueled by the victory of crypto-friendly candidate Donal Trump in the US presidential election.
Shanghai court confirms legal recognition of crypto ownership
A Shanghai court has confirmed that owning digital assets, including Bitcoin, is legal under Chinese law. Judge Sun Jie of the Shanghai Songjiang People’s Court shared this opinion through the WeChat account of the Shanghai High People’s Court.
BTC hits an all-time high above $97,850, inches away from the $100K mark
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $97,852 on Thursday, and the technical outlook suggests a possible continuation of the rally to $100,000. BTC futures have surged past the $100,000 price mark on Deribit, and Lookonchain data shows whales are accumulating.
Shiba Inu holders withdraw 1.67 trillion SHIB tokens from exchange
Shiba Inu trades slightly higher, around $0.000024, on Thursday after declining more than 5% the previous week. SHIB’s on-chain metrics project a bullish outlook as holders accumulate recent dips, and dormant wallets are on the move, all pointing to a recovery in the cards.
Bitcoin: New high of $100K or correction to $78K?
Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of $93,265 in the first half of the week, followed by a slight decline in the latter half. Reports highlight that Bitcoin’s current level is still not overvalued and could target levels above $100,000 in the coming weeks.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.