This Tezos fakeout could trigger a 30% rally for XTZ price

Tezos price consolidates between a horizontal high-time-frame resistance barrier and an inclining support level, forming a bullish pattern. The recent fakeout lured many investors to short, but the recovery suggests that XTZ is vying for a bullish move.

Tezos price reveals its intention

Tezos price flipped the $1.67 support level into a resistance barrier as it crashed 33% between June 12 and June 18. This move was followed by a set of higher lows and equal highs, which when connected using trend lines result in an ascending triangle.

This technical formation forecasts a 29% upswing to $2.16, determined by adding the distance between the first swing high and swing low to the breakout point at $1.66. Interestingly, XTZ price moved below the lower trend line on July 12, indicating a bearish breakout.

However, this move was a fakeout, which is a classic formation that lures unbeknownst traders. Regardless, the recovery has pushed Tezos price up by 8% and above the 200 four-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), further confirming the trend’s strength.

Going forward, investors can expect a four-hour candlestick close above the $1.66 hurdle, suggesting a breakout and the start of the larger move to $2.16.

XTZ/USDT 1-day chart

On the other hand, if Tezos price flips the $1.33 support level into a resistance barrier, it will invalidate the bearish thesis. In such a case, XTZ price could trigger an 18% correction to $1.07.