|

This support level promises a 120% recovery rally for Shiba Inu price

  • Shiba Inu price is hovering above the $0.0000118 support level again.
  • Investors can expect a 120% upswing after a 30% crash and a retest of the POC at $0.0000081. 
  • A daily candlestick close below $0.0000081 without a quick recovery will invalidate the bullish thesis for SHIB.

Shiba Inu price shows a lack of volatility –a characteristic of many meme coins. These dog-coins have a phase of near-zero volatility and compression of price range followed by an explosive move. SHIB sits in the former phase, waiting for the volatility to kick in. 

Shiba Inu price and its phases

Shiba Inu price saw a volatile episode on August 14, ironically marking the local top for many altcoins. On this day, SHIB gained 25% then undid its gains over the next week and is currently retesting the $0.0000118 support floor.

This price action is an example of the volatile and dry phase cycle that SHIB and many meme coins go through. The last notable explosive phase was observed in October 2021, when Shiba Inu price rallied 1,136% in under a month.

This massive explosive move was seen after four months of consolidation and was followed by an undoing of the gains over the next seven to eight months. 

To sum it up, there are three phases that SHIB undergoes regardless of the time frame 

  1. The consolidation phase
  2. The explosive phase
  3. The freefalling phase
SHIB/USDT 3-day chart

SHIB/USDT 3-day chart

As can be seen from the chart above where the three different phases are color-coded, the altcoin is currently in the third, pink, ‘freefall’ phase. 

Where next for SHIB right now?

The downtrend will continue, pushing Shiba Inu price lower to retest the weekly support floor at $0.0000087. However, the most apt place for SHIB to find a stable footing for a potential reversal is the Point of Control (POC) at $0.0000081.

This level marks the point of the highest traded volume for SHIB since May 10, 2021, and is thus likely to provide substantial support and resistance

Hence, investors can probably expect a resurgence of buying pressure to step in at this level, triggering a reversal. In order for a full-blown recovery rally to occur, however, market conditions have to be in favor of bulls, ie., Bitcoin price has to flip bullish as well. 

Combining all the observations from above, investors can expect another leg down, followed by a tight and boring consolidation, then finally for SHIB to trigger an explosive rally to the most obvious next level – $0.0000179, which contains buy-stops resting above it. 

This move would constitute a 120% ascent from the POC at $0.0000081 and is the most likely place where most market participants will look to book profits. 

SHIB/USDT 3-day  chart

SHIB/USDT 3-day  chart

Shiba Inu price could even prematurely trigger a run-up before correcting back and retesting the POC at $0.0000081. However, if SHIB breaks below this level and fails to recover, it would indicate that the sellers are in control and this would invalidate the bullish thesis outlined above. 

In such a case, Shiba Inu price could crash to $0.0000070, where it will try to find support and respite from sellers.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP face pressure near key technical barriers

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) hover around key levels on Monday after correcting slightly in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could face increased downside risk as bearish momentum builds across key indicators.

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash (DASH), SPX6900 (SPX), and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC and ETH eyes breakout, XRP steadies at support

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.