• Polkadot, although not making any recovery currently, is on the path to note a rally by November 10.
  • Short-term traders can capitalize on Polkadot’s high volatility, which is resulting in vast fluctuations.
  • Newer investors should refrain from entering the Polkadot market as the potential risk-adjusted returns for DOT are negative at the moment.

Polkadot is among the cohort of cryptocurrencies that have yet to witness any recovery since the recent spikes in prices were wiped out by the dips in August. Standing at its June lows, DOT needs support from its investors as well as the broader market cues since, by itself, it is unable to sustain a rally.

Polkadot is struggling to mark a rise

The 24-hour chart highlights that Polkadot is still in the danger zone, forming lower lows despite the dip of August taking place two weeks ago. Trading at $7.37, the next best bet for DOT to engage in a rally is somewhere around November 10. 

The timeline has been deduced by the repeated pattern of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where DOT took 67 days to rise from the oversold zone to the overbought (OB) zone for the first time this year and another 88 days during May to August period.

TradingView ChartPolkadot 24-hour chart

Considering that average, the next time RSI reaches the OB zone would be after almost 74 days. In the same period, DOT needs to reclaim the support of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level in order to engage in recovery to its local top of $23.21. Once that happens, DOT will have a chance to rally on and complete its 214% recovery.

While this rise demands patience from investors, DOT has much more to offer its short-term traders. The volatility on Polkadot is extremely high, which is visible by the fluctuations. 

TradingView ChartPolkadot 4-hour chart

The widening Bollinger Bands is an indication of the same. This leaves enough room for scalpers and short-term traders as the closest lower high is just 30% away.

However, first-time Polkadot investors should hold off for now as the market is not in a good state.

Returns on Polkadot suffer

At the moment, the risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio) on Polkadot stand at negative 3.10, levels which were last noted back in July. Fear of another market collapse looms above investors’ heads following the August dip, and it is valid as well since most of the market is observing losses.

Polkadot sharpe ratio


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Here are the best and worst-performing cryptocurrencies in H1 2024

Here are the best and worst-performing cryptocurrencies in H1 2024

A recent report by Crypto Koryo on Wednesday revealed meme coins as the top performers among cryptocurrencies so far in 2024, with several altcoins coming in behind. The worst-performing tokens are DeFi and governance tokens.

More Cryptocurrencies News

Ethereum poised to follow Nvidia's steps as Bitwise files updated S-1 draft

Ethereum poised to follow Nvidia's steps as Bitwise files updated S-1 draft

Ethereum (ETH) is down 3% on Wednesday following Bitwise filing an updated S-1 draft and a wider market downturn with potential Mt. Gox BTC supply flooding the market. 

More Ethereum News

What to expect from altcoins as ETH ETF approval draws closer

What to expect from altcoins as ETH ETF approval draws closer

As the crypto market continues consolidating on Wednesday, altcoins show mixed signals ahead of the spot ETH ETF launch. Many have predicted that the alt season may not occur in this cycle following the market lull. However, two key metrics suggest otherwise.

More Cryptocurrencies News

PolitiFi meme coins surge as Biden support lowers

PolitiFi meme coins surge as Biden support lowers

Crypto prediction markets favor Kamala Harris over President Joe Biden as Democratic nominee in upcoming presidential elections. Meme coins based on Vice President Harris rallied amid BODEN token's 30% decline. Other tokens based on possible replacements for Biden experienced similar surges.

More Cryptocurrencies News

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin: BTC price correction could end in July, according to seasonal data

Bitcoin (BTC) price appears poised for a decline this week, influenced by slight outflows in US spot ETFs, selling activity among BTC miners, and a combined transfer of 4,690.28 BTC to centralized exchanges by the US and German governments.

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP